@Undisciplined233
2,650,393 sats stacked
stacking since: #88718longest cowboy streak: 233npub1t49ke...rm3srw4jj5
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 11m \ on: Stacker Sports- Day 164- On Schedule Stacker_Sports
I like opening and closing with division rivals. Raiders have a nice week 10 bye in the middle of their toughest stretch of games.
They have one of the harder schedules this year, but it's more good teams than great ones. I think we'll have an elite defense and win a lot of tough games. My prediction is 10-7 and squeak into the playoffs.
All of that is interesting, but I think the difficulty adjustment is the key point. No matter how low the marginal cost of computing goes, and there will always be a marginal cost, the difficulty adjustment can match it (at least that's my understanding).
There could be very interesting distributional effects from a small group of miners having access to substantially cheaper energy, though.
Well, if you ever see odds you think are stupid, feel free to make a 2k bet with me over it. I think that would give you pretty much all of the upside that actually having an account would offer.
I hope all the new Stackers paid attention (and us older ones too).
I do feel like posting and writing are slightly different things, even though the one requires the other.
Because the Stacker News community is so full of interesting perspectives, I'm happy to post things that I'd be interested in discussing with others, even if I haven't fully formed my thoughts on it yet.
A lot of my writing takes place in the discussions that a post generates.
It would be interesting to know.
I've seen some coverage of Gen Z having very unrealistic expectations about starting salaries, but I don't know how that's actually manifesting.
This is a major source of funding for many police departments. It definitely does not just sit in storage.
I think there's something to the idea that expectations are growing faster than prosperity is and that's making people feel worse about how they're doing economically.
That's right. Most people say inflation is understated. If that's true, then you'd get a graph like this, even if there were no gains in prosperity.
That probably means a faster price crash, more than a slower one. If they're trying to unload it and can't find enough buyers, then the price will fall until they either find enough buyers or hit their own reserve prices.
I wouldn't be so sure about that. These could easily be fair weather friends who will bail at the first sign of trouble.
10 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined OP 5h \ parent \ on: RBOA: Risk Balanced Odds Arbitrage Stacker_Sports
To my knowledge, they have no issue with this. The reason why they wouldn't have a problem with it is because it doesn't undermine their profit mechanism.
They take their cut out of the pool first and then pay out the winners, so however we structure our bets is of no consequence to the site owners.
By contrast, traditional betting houses give betters fixed odds that are less than fair. That means they make money in the long run, but can lose on any particular bet. Since they can lose money, they don't allow certain systematic betting behavior that opens them up to losses.
I've been growing my account there gradually but swiftly, by wagering on sports. I have a positive return after systematically wagering on hundreds of events, so I think the approach I outlined in that post has been validated.
I made a post #342765 a while ago about how you can get better-than-fair odds at freebitcoin, when betting on sports and other events.
So, it's fun and you can do it in a way that you're expected to make a positive return.
There's also an element of betting on yourself and your knowledge. This is the prediction market element that @ek used to talk about a lot.
Since Civilization was already taken, I'll say Fallout.
I love the quirky post-apocalypse setting and the RPG mechanics.
That makes sense. Each model is a good approximation of phenomena at the scales we've observed so far. As we encounter new scales of space-time, we'll probably need new models to explain those phenomena.
That’s right. We already know that relativity runs into problems on really small scales.
It’ll be interesting to see what these newly observed glitches are.