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0 sats \ 5 replies \ @Cje95 22 Jun \ parent \ on: hormuz strait closed econ
Have you looked at the logistics of closing the strait? The only thing that Iran could and I say could with a heavy emphasis is to randomly mine there areas of the strait. If there stuff floats over to the UAE or Oman they have a whole other issue on their hands.
They also just do not have a Navy that could block and hold the strait.
I would first assume it's not Iran closing the straight, but the US, and Iran would just be the cover.
Assuming what everyone thinks in normieland is true, and it was really Iran trying to close it and cut themselves off... which makes no sense... all they'd have to do is fire rockets at ships. That's enough to cut insurance off for ships that pass through, self-enforcing blockade.
My dad was on a destroyer during the hostage crisis, old bastard has stories.
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Sure they could use those three islands short term but to think that the UAE and the Saudi's themselves wouldnt move in to erase the threat is wild. We saw the Houthi's try this and I mean it ended up reaching a point of not being much of a factor. You get the Middle East supporting and ya know.... not great.
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That's why I don't believe Iran would be the ones behind it if the straight closed, but if they were I agree it wouldn't last long.
US on the other hand could shut it down for months before the public started to catch on.
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Honestly I am not sure the US could because of the sheer wild capabilities of the Open Source Intel community now.... I mean we would almost need to create or steal I guess Iranian mines and then get Iran to agree to the mines are from them.... which would just be to much in my mind to get Iran to agree with us.
I am much more concerned about lone wolf attacks or other things that might arise. If Iranian sleeper cells exist I think now is when we would see them activated...
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Eh, most of the OSINT stuff I see is retarded... cover ups don't have to go much beyond we said so. Not like people are magically going to start discerning truth tomorrow.
I am much more concerned about lone wolf attacks or other things that might arise. If Iranian sleeper cells exist I think now is when we would see them activated...
I agree but with the twist that false flags under this pretext are what is likely/imminent, with a special interest on grid attacks.
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