Hey, Predyx betters of SN -- @Coinsreporter, @mega_dreamer, @Undisciplined etc -- Tell me what's up (here's the Predyx bet: https://beta.predyx.com/market/elon-mentions-bitcoin-in-2025-1751757602)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk publicly posts or replies on his verified X/Twitter account during the 2025 calendar year and includes the word “Bitcoin” in the text of the post or reply.
Mentions in images, videos, or audio without the word appearing in the accompanying text will not count.
...and I see all these peeps making trades
Apparently @south_korea_ln knows something with that sizeable 40k bet.
So before I bid all my Lightning sats away on this done deal (at 84%, free 19% return -- 28% when I started buying)... what am I missing?!
Here is Elon on July 1st, talking about XChat
The word "Bitcoin" is straight-up in the text...
@SimpleStacker out here yolo-ing in, so I suppose I'm right
thanks for the arb tip bro 👊
no troubles, happy to help. (will gratefully receive a finders' fee zap)
heh, hope this isn't a trap and we don't get rekt
Riiiight, that's mostly why I didn't throw 100k in
edit: nope, it was a total trap.
#1036634
sorry about this, bro... send me invoice/address and I'll return that finders' fee
Heh no worries I knew the risks. I think it's still probably a good bet
You did, so your bet is on you. But the 500 sats zap here I induced
I didn't see that tweet. I was responding to his affirmative response to the America Party embracing bitcoin, although he didn't include "bitcoin" in it.
He implied it with the "Fiat is hopeless" reply but not the literal word
Exactly, and that made it seem pretty likely that he would mention bitcoin explicitly at some point in the next six months.
Yeah, that was super close, but no cigar
Hey guys, sorry for the confusion. This market was created on July 5th based on request from @NEEDcreations (https://x.com/NEEDcreations/status/1940932744508518651)
As you can can see the 1st bet was placed on July 5th.
To be fair to the NO holders - we will only consider tweets after market creation date.
Sorry about the confusion - I know I will get hate from the YES holders, but sometimes you gotta do the right thing.
To clear the confusion - I will add the market creation date on resolution criteria.
To compensate for the confusion (due to lack of market creation date in resolution criteria) - I'm happy to compensate people who bet on this market today (after this post was created) with 1000 sats to each user.
Users who bet today after this post was:
@denlillaapan
@SimpleStacker
@Coinsreporter
Please send me invoice for 1000 sats.
Thank you, siiiir. Let's me go wage some more bets
lnbc10u1p589kf2pp5alq47xsm659esmntg98pvtz7cg7tmhpv3fz5n4h23r757f7jqs2scqzyssp52uhcmnwk5e58tdaaj45uy9h2qteusev39jjdne4xf5e6d7lz8rus9q7sqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqsqqqqqysgqdqqmqz9gxqyz5vqrzjqwryaup9lh50kkranzgcdnn2fgvx390wgj5jd07rwr3vxeje0glcll6c9knrp2wtzqqqqqlgqqqqqeqqjq7qvsv0xr0mhaw2hh7494a9ekuwcyhyzcvypvcz2u4jeqwrlhuxlszrqpl8rn45z07lyxvla2jm0spjx7nmr0r5rx4ky258yfwszy6sgpn6mmp2
Paid :)
https://xcancel.com/NEEDcreations/status/1940932744508518651
Yeah I was gonna mention this but forgot to. Glad you're making the resolution criteria more clear
Thank you @NEEDcreations 🙏
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That's June 1st.
Nonetheless nice catch!
I'm sure @mega_dreamer won't have any issues resolving it to Yes.
How about lowercase "bitcoin" or "BTC" ? We should probably clear that up too @mega_dreamer
Yes will add that as well to clear any confusion.
Sorry, my miss!
Bitcoin does not use encryption. It uses digital signatures.
You were kind in not riding it to 100. Hats off.
We'll, conviction wasn't there... I felt like I was missing something — which, it turned out, I did
https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1929238157872312773