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Even with those cases, I'm reasonably confident they won't land right in between the two marks.

42 sats \ 9 replies \ @ek 25 Aug

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Haha still funny to me that people are betting on something that at least one of the other bettors has literal direct control over

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I see it differently.

I see it as a way to reward/incentivize this other bettor to make the unlikely happen, thanks to his more direct control.

If I lose this bet, I'll feel good about it, because then it means SN is doing better than expected.

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That's right, it's a win-win

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Seems like a bot has started doing just that...

2000 posts in last 30 minutes...

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42 sats \ 4 replies \ @ek 25 Aug

Yeah I watched what they were posting a bit, see #1095189

It's just random garbage, so yeah probably really someone who figured out how to use the API to move markets but didn't figure out you don't actually have to create items that will show up for others

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5000 messages already... He really wants you to win this market:)

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Showing up for others is probably a bug. These items are not paid for at all...

And somehow if we land in between, you lose both of your bets. Your strategy is same like your nym just @Undisciplined, doesn't know where it's heading to...haha

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I have already made my sats back by trading all the movement, so I'm not too worried about it.

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