Polymarket traders are being accused of “insider trading” the Nobel Peace Prize, with some betting $68,000 on Venezuelan activist María Corina Machado to win the award hours before it was announced.

Onlookers on X spotted that one trader called “6741” had created a Polymarket account specifically for this market. They started betting on Machado to win as early as 10:42 pm UTC the day before, spending $29,000 on yes bets over five hours.

They also placed bets on several other candidates, including Greta Thunberg and Julian Assange, that were priced between $30 and $400.

The only other pricey position they bet was $14,000 placed on Alexei Navalny’s wife, Yulia Navalnaya, to win.

The award was announced at 9:00 am UTC, and 6741 made a profit of $53,500. Polymarket trader “Dirtycup” was also flagged as suspicious after only placing bets from 3:41am UTC onwards on Machado winning, paying $68,340 on yes shares and making a profit of almost $31,000.

X account Polymarket Whales noted, “Either @​dirtycup knows something from Oslo, or that’s the wildest fan club ever.”

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