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30 sats \ 4 replies \ @optimism 20 Oct \ on: Research in Public #06: Unprofitable users exit more when btc price high econ
But didn't you just disprove that 1sat=1sat? This kind of confuses me.
I showed that it matters directionally, but that the effect looks fairly small in magnitude (a huge swing in monthly price growth from -5% to +5% would only change the exit rate of an unprofitable user by 0.8 percentage points).
So, either all users are responsive to bitcoin price, just minimally so, or most users are unresponsive and a few are responsive.
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No need to apologize. Proper interpretation of research results can get pretty nuanced, which is why it's hard to write about, and even harder to read about sometimes.
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There's an important distinction between statistically significant and actually significant.
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