Yes that makes sense. I just love the chance to try and predict the future and see what others think too. It is a very interesting marketplace as you put your money where your mouth is and there is a real tendency for it to tend toward the truth due to market forces. We had a similar online market here in New Zealand years ago called 'ipredict' run by one of the universities statistics department, though it used fiat, and it was shut down by the government ruling party - that government did not appear to like a free and open marketplace in peoples expectations- they would rather try to control them! They have close associates will commercial polling companies... So imo prediction markets are a vital part of freedom of speech and democracy- as well as damn good fun. Hopefully bitcoin can help keep prediction markets open and free of government meddling and censorship.