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You are doing some incredible work. I think generally your hypotheses are correct although I am not sure we have figured out what the optimal posting fee is and if it depends on the territory (which would make sense- if you are posting a short story or a long form opinion piece that isn't a regular thing you are probably happy to pay more to post than if you are just posting a link to a news article). I think up to 100 sats posting fee probably doesn't change anyone's behaviour but I do recall the original health territory had a 1k sats posting fee and I know personally I didn't post in that territory because I felt it was too high. Even if I thought I would get more than 1k sats back from the post it seemed excessively high compared to other territories.
I definitely think the optimal posting fee will depend on the territory, and maybe even the type of post. Would be interesting if SN one day gives territory owners more fine grained control over costs.
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