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115 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 15h \ on: Aggeus Market: permissionless prediction markets on bitcoin - SuperTestnet bitcoin
Incentivizing honest oracles is the biggest problem, not the technology.
That's why I think this will always be coordinated through a centralized party that has a reputation to maintain and charges a small coordination fee.
It does seem like reputation of a central market, spread across a large number of different individual predictions would help to make it so the oracle has no incentive other than veracity (or possibly lack of controversy).
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