We are one game passed the midpoint of the season.
A good time to look at the current playoff seedings and probabilities as the 2nd half begins. Theses seedings and playoff probabilities are as per nfl.com. Reminder, division leaders are seeded 1-4 in each conference.
AFC
Currently in playoffs
- Broncos 8-2 (92%)
- Colts 7-2 (90%)
- Patriots 7-2 (90%)
- Steelers 5-3 (57%)
- Bills 6-2 (94%)
- Chargers 6-3 (68%)
- Jaguars 5-3 (56%)
Currently out of playoffs
- Chiefs 5-4 (73%)
- Texans 3-5 (19%)
- Ravens 3-5 (55%)
- Bengals 3-6 (3%)
- Browns 2-6 (2%)
- Raiders 2-7 (<1%)
- Dolphins 2-7 (<1%)
- Jets 1-7 (<1%)
- Titans 1-8 (<1%)
*No AFC teams have been eliminated yet.
NFC
Currently in the playoffs
- Eagles 6-2 (97%)
- Buccaneers 6-2 (90%)
- Seahawks 6-2 (85%)
- Packers 5-2-1 (79%)
- Rams 6-2 (91%)
- 49ers 6-3 (76%)
- Lions 5-3 (78%)
Currently out of the playoffs
- Bears 5-3 (28%)
- Panthers 5-4 (26%)
- Vikings 4-4 (23%)
- Cowboys 3-5-1 (5%)
- Cardinals 3-5 (5%)
- Falcons 3-5 (12%)
- Commanders 3-6 (3%)
- Giants 2-7 (<1%)
- Saints 1-8 (<1%)
*No NFC teams have been eliminated yet.
It will be fun to look back at the end of the season and see how accurate or wrong the probabilities were.
Sats for all, GR
Maybe the cowardly nerds with their formulas haven't eliminated anyone, but we've eliminated nine teams.
Every time you guys eliminate a team, you should place a bet that they miss the playoffs. Would be neat to see how it turns out
That's a good idea.
I was thinking about guaranteeing teams next year. Same segment, starting four weeks later, but for which teams make the playoffs.
In addition? Or in replacement of? I guess it’s almost an either-or, just in different directions
In addition
That could be a fun contest idea too. One cross off and one lock in per week. Cross offs start week 1. Lock ins week 5.
The app should be able to handle this.
🤖
Saints fans knew they were eliminated before the first snap of week 1.
Let the greatest comeback in NFL history commence.
Crazy how high a chance Panthers and Bears have
Poor Commies it’s over.
Amazing patriots doing so well!
Steelers always choke on December
How are Chiefs and Ravens out?
Do Bengals really have no shot?
Chiefs and Ravens will be in in a couple weeks. Bengals have a shot but they have a lot of tough games coming up and Burrow is still another month out.
That’s when I’ll play Ravens in survivor
Your ordering is weird
What do you mean? 1-16 in each conference.
Rams should be at the top and Eagles second
Eagles and Seahawks hold the tiebreakers over Rams. Eagles beat Rams and Seahawks have more divisional wins than Rams. So right now those teams are ranked higher.
WE BETTER BEAT THE NINERS THEN
Rams have 3 guys on the injury report. 2 of which were full participants all week so are definitely playing. The 49ers have 16 guys on the injury report and that doesnt include the 5 guys on IR. So yeah the Rams better win if they want to be considered serious contenders.
To the Super Bowl!!
NFC is wide open.
Saints lol still a chance
Definitely expecting the Chiefs to jump the Jags in a week or two.
Chiefs will definitely be in unless Mahomes gets hurt. Ravens likely in too as long as Lamar stays healthy. I think only the Bears and Vikings have a shot in the NFC but it will be tough because they both have some real tough games remaining. Panthers also have a number of tough games. The NFC is likely set unless the wheels completely fall off for the 49ers. I mean I am not sure how they are staying competitive with half the roster hurt. Every time they have a bad game I think the snowball will start rolling downhill but then they follow it up with a win. So unless things really go sideways they probably at least get to 10 wins.