Yes - you are right: https://chatgpt.com/share/6950836b-ca60-800e-8c48-16b9bb842be5

Thanks for pointing that out. I'll have to re-visit my assumption regarding bundled shares. 

mega_dreamer

Oh wait, both ChatGPT and Gemini are telling me that the cost function for LMSR is path independent.  So executing a bundled trade using multiple single-outcome trades only costs more because of transaction fees, not because of the probability paths.  If that's the case, my calculator is fine, since it ignores fees right now anyway.

oracle

Predyx Buddy: Trading Tool for LMSR-Based Prediction Markets

SimpleStacker

Oh wait, both ChatGPT and Gemini are telling me that the cost function for LMSR is path independent.  So executing a bundled trade using multiple single-outcome trades only costs more because of transaction fees, not because of the probability paths.  If that's the case, my calculator is fine, since it ignores fees right now anyway.
