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Skeptical on this one... somebody needs to do a fact-check/deep dive. (I suppose delineation of exactly "writing" matters here)

I'd wager more people make money by writing (and in more ways) than thirty years ago...by a lot.

On this, I'll have a LOT more to say -- about price/wage rigidity, about labor supply, about deflationary fiat prices etc -- but no, I don't think you have this right.

the argument is that we will be so productive that nobody will need to work (remember everybody loses their job?), but at the same time nothing will get cheaper and nobody will be able do anything.
We aren't gonna do less, we're gonna do more.

...and we only every know that afterwards. Yes, I think history of technological revolutions is on your side -- tho in all of them the convo was "what if this is different?" It is kind of hard to see the new-and-improved/nonexisting world before it's here