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Let me start with: Moltbook is retarded, so sure AI vs AI aerial combat is much more interesting. Lol.
In the 90s I had a buddy working for GA and other friends, at Lockheed iirc, said they were just a bunch of bullshitting monkeys. But the Predator did deliver. I wouldn't bet against "establishing newcomer" tech companies in the defense industry - once they get to that stage they've often got something. My money would be on Anduril simply because they don't have a legacy platform to build around. Their entire platform is fit for purpose?
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Yeah I think you're right-- the battle would be with missiles, not guns. I used the wrong word, IDK what to call the missile fight. I guess my curiosity comes from how the two AI systems would handle that.
From what I've seen from DCS videos on youtube, a big part of winning missile fights comes down to knowing the enemy and the capability of their weapons systems. Like if you see a missile fired off and you know it's range, you can make a turn and/or drag it down to thicker air where it will never have the energy to reach you. Would an AI model just have all that information built in? Would there be a human helping it? Moltbook is cool but the stage where AIs will battle to the death is 100X more fascinating!