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agree on v2, and your thought process there.
To your question: no, the dashboard only records the winner of each block. It doesn't see the 'stale' blocks that were found but lost the race.
However, if a pool is consistently winning those 'split-tip' races, it confirms the suspicion: those 7-block streaks aren't just a statistical events, They are a result of structural edges.
One way to interpret this: while we attribute ~32% hashrate to Foundry, their effective hashrate, when they want it to be, is actually higher because of these 'other' technical edges
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I also like it!
Yes! Sv2 would be great to see - or even anything proprietary from the large pools like Ocean's proprietary solution. Giving up control may feel like a self-own for the pools, but the only thing they'd really lose is 0-fee pool distributions. Probably worth the upside of not being distrusted.
Re: your dashboard. I have a question:
Does the stated probability take into account the split-chaintip defense that was activated for Foundry when they found they had a competing tip?