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There was also the case of Brian Armstrong's Earning Call (https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/01/coinbase-ceo-brian-armstrong-trolls-the-prediction-markets/)
They had bet what words would he mention during his call. At the end of the otherwise normal earnings call, Brian said:
And I just want to add here the words Bitcoin, Ethereum, Blockchain, Staking, and Web3 to make sure we get those in before the end of the call
These just happened to be the exact words that polymarket betters were betting on.
From a larger view lots of this unironically points back to George Soros "reflexivity thesis" of markets. Which is that market bets influence real world behavior, which influences market bets....etc.
AH YES! I remember this one
It did happen, a whole bunch of times
It said resolved to "No"...?
That link shows a yes resolution on Thurs Aug 7. It was one of those multi-outcome bets.
Maybe that one. I recall several markets like this being open. We talked about one that was for the color of the next dildo.
AAHA AAHHAHAHHA -- how in the world did that not happen?! Easiest goddamn money ever