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@Carresan did an analysis of this, actually. The issue with 1-0, and why my strategy beats it, is that many of the 1-0 results go to the underdog.
So, it is the more common result overall, but not so when you condition on the favorite winning.
So you should go only with dogs
Not for these types of contests that don't have any bonus to picking an underdog, expect for the unknown pot-odds.
@Carresan did an analysis of this, actually. The issue with 1-0, and why my strategy beats it, is that many of the 1-0 results go to the underdog.
So, it is the more common result overall, but not so when you condition on the favorite winning.