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Those themes ought to, you know, go together: high liquidity/depth and mispricing. It's almost like there's a market principle there, like maybe EMH
One high liquidity market for you but you need to be a supe-degen to bet on it.
Easy, already have a cute allocation to it. Steamroller warning, tho... Very limited upside at ~7%
I don't see you though under Share Holder.
Your cute little allocation might be too little to show up there!
Aah perhaps. -_-
I think there are still mispricings in deeper liquidity, higher volume markets they are just harder to find and don't last as long.
For instance there is a market on Predyx for how many games Troy will win at the CWS. They have already won 1 game and were underdogs in today's game so 1 was priced around 60% and 2 at 36% with the remainder being 3, 4 and 0 with small percentage chances. I forgot they were playing today and didn't check the market until the 7th inning and Troy was already losing 6-0. 1 should have been at least 95% at this point but it was still 60 and only one user had made a bet for a few hundred sats. There is no way that would have still been available on Kalshi or polymarket.
Yeah, too many eyeballs. Also the tech on Predyx is less reliable/comprehensive/transparent
I don't think PREDYX ever got some Bitcoin VC funding, did they??
There are insane mispricings on Predyx because it is small/in beta. Last week I was buying up NO shares in teams that had already been eliminated in the College world series at 11% and 12%. But for the same reason you can't get rich off predyx because the lack of liquidity and volume simply mean you can make maybe a few thousand sats when you find these mispricings.