Every ten minutes, the Bitcoin network crowns a winner — awarding [3.125 BTC] to whichever miner first solves a cryptographic proof-of-work query.

While a single solo mining attempt yields an odds ratio of approximately 1 in 200 billion — far worse than any national lottery per draw — the continuous, 24/7 nature of mining fundamentally alters the probabilistic calculus.

With 144 block attempts per day, a 4 TH/s miner achieves a daily jackpot probability of roughly 1 in 1.4 million, and an annualized probability of approximately 1 in 2,500. By contrast, the most favorable national lottery analyzed — Norway’s Lotto (7/34, 1 in 5.4 million per draw, once weekly) — yields an annual probability of only 1 in 104,000. The least favorable, Italy’s SuperEnaLotto (1 in 622 million per draw), produces an annual probability of merely 1 in 4 million.