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Following up on my previous post where I delivered a Toyota Hilux to Kramatorsk, Ukraine, here's my report on the two nights I spent there (previously posted as an article on twitter):

After delivering the Toyota Hilux truck I stayed in Kramatorsk for another two nights to see how the situation has changed since my previous trip. And changed it has: as you will see, Russia is radically ramping up its efforts to destroy the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area and force the civilian population out. It's a significantly more dangerous place to be than even a month ago.

But first things first: I still hadn't found them the Starlink they wanted. So we tracked down a store that had a single Starlink mini in stock at one of the main shopping areas:

21,900 UAH. A bit of a premium over the typical cost in Ukraine... But I mean, look at that building. About half of those missing windows are new, since the last time I had visited just a month prior, due yet another glide bomb (KAB) attack by Russia that landed on the road just ~15m away.

The unit needed the Starlink right away, so we got some fuel for my friend's perfectly normal, civilian car, at a perfectly normal, civilian, gas station:

Yes, it's open. Note the guy refilling his LPG car from the LPG tank hidden in the bunker; the one out in the open is definitely empty. Gas stations have been a priority target for Russia, as fuel distribution is critical to the civilian population; that gas station had been hit before.

I didn't get footage of us actually delivering the Starlink, as we took it to a sensitive location kinda close to the front lines. Close enough that my friend was teaching me the basics of defensive driving within fiber drone range: how to check corners for ambush drones while turning corners. Pretty simple concept: driver checks his side for drones; passenger simultaneously checks the other side. If you actually see a drone, one option is to jump out of the vehicle and hope that the goes for the high value vehicle rather than you. That's why they didn't care that the driver side seatbelt in the Toyota Hilux was broken...

With the Starlink delivered, I got to tag along with a medical officer in the unit while he checked in with some foreign volunteers from the USA who were taking time off in Kramatorsk to recover; we literally met them in a coffee shop. Concussions from near-miss encounters with drones are a serious issue. And as you can see by their patches, they took the issue very seriously:

But seriously, all joking aside, the Ukrainian military medical system is using the latest, most advanced, concussion protocols available to treat soldiers, informed by the US's experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan.

...and after that, I went to yet another coffee shop to hang out with my friend Sarah, and other less terminally online soldier friends of ours:

Something I want to stress here is how important it is to the soldiers that ordinary businesses like coffee shops and restaurants are still operating in Kramatorsk. When you're coming off long hours or even days in windowless bunkers, being able to go to somewhere normal and just... be normal is really important.

But that's changing. After coffee, Sarah and I went for a quick drive around Kramatorsk:

See the barbed wire and drone netting covering the road? That's all new. While the barbed wire is just precautionary - that video was taken roughly 15km from Russian lines, and there's no way Russians are getting anywhere near it any time soon - the drone netting over the road has quickly become very relevant.

Both nights I stayed at an ordinary civilian apartment rented by some soldiers on the east side of Kramatorsk; I slept in my sleeping bag on a foam mat in the living room. That night you could periodically hear Russian fiber optic drones flying by us, often followed by gunshots as soldiers tried to shot them down. Or explosions if they hit something. And again, when we woke up in the morning Russia was still attacking our area with drones.

Here's a video from that morning. I can't show you the location (we were visiting somewhere kinda sensitive). But the audio is unmodified other than having the volume boosted:

They're a bit difficult to hear. But if you listen carefully you can hear the whine of the drones. I couldn't figure out where they actually were. I did see a drone in the distance at one point, a black spec identifiable as a drone rather than a bird by the fact that it was flying in a perfectly straight line. But it was too far to be one of the drones I was hearing; I decided not to stick my head out the window for a better look.

It's a very real threat. Remember the video above of freshly installed barbed wire, and the vehicle hit by an FPV? Later that day we went by the area again and found a newly wrecked civilian vehicle that had been hit by an FPV drone, and then crashed into the barbed wire:

Once the active attack subsided, Sarah got a request to get some critical supplies for a group of soldiers located south of Kramatorsk, who were heading even further south to the front lines. In particular, baby wipes, anti-fungal cream, and waterless showers (basically a fancy wet wipe IIUC):

Laugh all you want. But hygiene is critical; every soldier I meet who has actually been in the field absolute loves wet wipes. Heck, with one of the trucks I've delivered, we included about $300 worth of them.

That also mean another trip to the hot(er) towns south of Kramatorsk, along with all the weirdness on the roads:

The Lada was pretty funny. But I also want to point out the taxi: there's still Uber-like taxi service available to some pretty dangerous locations in the Kramatorsk area. I also want to point out the weather: rain. While drones can fly in the rain, the rain causes problems like obscuring the cameras. So bad weather is a lot safer.

We got lunch at a nice restaurant in a basement:

Funny enough, there's quite a lot of lovely restaurants in basements in Kramatorsk... Anyway, during lunch Russia did yet another glide bomb attack, cutting power to the city for a few hours. Which was annoying as we needed to get a new laptop for a soldier I know who urgently needed a replacement:

In the end we decided on a 2021 Macbook Pro 16" + 1TB SSD (for backups). $1200 USD total, which I paid from the $LADA funds. Part of that soldier's job is intelligence imagery analysis; while they didn't have a programming background, they had been experimenting with AI to help them automate the process.

In general, laptops are something the entire Ukrainian military is short of; I need to do a $LADA donation drive to get donations of old laptops to soldiers.

Finally, Sarah and I picked up a soldier who was leaving the unit; he had some final paperwork and other tasks to finish before getting on the bus to Kyiv. Most of the foreign volunteers I've met have come from western countries, especially the US and UK. This guy was unusual though, as he had been born in Africa, and later got residency in the EU. He'd struggled early on due to his poor English. But turned into a good soldier. Unfortunately he needed to leave Ukraine at his six months mark to keep his EU residency valid. But his plan was to re-enlist in a different unit he'd found with foreigners who spoke his native language.

Again, that night I stayed at the soldiers' apartment. And again, we fell asleep with the sounds of occasional gunfire and drones. That morning - my last day - I wanted to get an actual sample of Russian fiber. Since essentially all the FPV drone attacks on Kramatorsk are via fiber drones, we figured we should be able to find some on the road where the two cars had been recently hit. There was a bit of a valley with bare fields that we figured the drones were probably flying through. And I knew that at the intersection of the main road and the dirt road crossing it, there was a big gap in the drone netting:

Sure enough, fiber! Some small pieces which I quickly collected... but while I was getting it I heard (and then saw) a drone a few hundred meters east. The moment Sarah noticed me looking up he immediately yelled to get in the car - he's got enough real world experiment to know why I was looking up - and we got the fuck out of there before we got spotted.

Turned out we didn't even need to go to the valley: we stopped about 500 meters away at a convenience store to get some coffee, Sarah suitably equipped in case he spotted another drone:

...and I noticed that fiber was literally on top of the store, and all over the drone netting. So I grabbed some:

Notice how Sarah motions for me to cross the street? This is important, and it illustrates the huge difference in experience between him and me. Sarah's a bad-ass soldier who has had multiple close encounters with FPV drones, nearly killing him multiple times. He's a soldier thinking about the tactical situation; I'm a guy in a tracksuit.

We talked about it after, and Sarah explained that he didn't like how open that side of the road was. We knew fiber drones were in the area: I'd just seen one a few minutes ago, maybe a kilometer away. If one did attack us, we'd be much better off on the other side of the road, where there were multiple options for cover. Similarly, when we'd stopped the car in the valley, while I was just thinking about the fiber he was already thinking about how to respond to a drone attack: dive into the bushes by the road, and hope the drone attacked the higher value vehicle rather than us.

I also want to talk about how this changes the psychology of the situation for the civilians in the area. In my previous trip, before Russia started pouring resources into attacking Kramatorsk with fiber drones, while Kramatorsk was still a relatively dangerous place, your main threat was glide bombs and cluster bombs. Those weapons are relatively random, and aside from just hiding in bunkers all day (air raids can easily last 12 hours in Kramatorsk), there's not that much you can do. If your time is up, it's up. Which makes the danger easier to just ignore and get on with your life.

FPV drones on the other hand are active weapons: there is a Russian soldier on the other end potentially looking right at you via the camera. That Russian may very well decide to kill you. Yet, with the right response, you can stay alive and turn an attack into a near miss, or at least a non-fatal injury. But that means constantly thinking about the threat. Something no civilian should have to do.

In any case, with my fiber collected (and one quick trip to Nova Poshta to get an envelope to put it in), I got on my bus and left Kramatorsk. For now.

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So who's winning the war?

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Right now, Ukraine.

So much Russian oil infrastructure has been blown up that Russia is negotiating with Kazakhstan to import gasoline to alleviate shortages in Moscow: https://english.nv.ua/business/moscow-arranges-gasoline-imports-from-kazakhstan-50619044.html

In Crimea, gas and diesel sales to non-governmental entities have been suspended entirely: https://english.nv.ua/russian-war/fuel-sales-halted-in-occupied-crimea-as-fire-burns-at-kerch-fuel-terminal-50617995.html

This doesn't mean Russia is going to collapse right away – I wouldn't be surprised if we have another two years of war – but it does mean there is a feasible path to total victory for Ukraine. All they have to do is hold on, while destroying Russia's economy. Eventually the front lines will simply collapse due to lack of fuel, ammo, and food.

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Ok, but they're not making any gains territory wise.

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War is more than just holding territory right now. Ukraine is creating conditions that in the future will leave Russia unable to hold territory; taking territory back then, rather than attempting to do so now, is a far better use of lives and resources.

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Imagine dumping money, time and resources into the one army that's currently forcefully enlisting people while they go shopping with their families, that serve as useful idiots to weaken Russia by proxy for deep state/Zionist aligned interests. I didn't even have to read the name of the author to know which Zionist Bitcoiner might be gullible enough to do this.

Of course it's toddy.

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sad to see so many “bitcoiners” here donating for more Ukrainian dead

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forcefully enlisting people while they go shopping with their families

Conscription is the wartime version of paying taxes. Do your part.

that serve as useful idiots to weaken Russia by proxy

I'm helping weaken Russia? You don't need to convince me...

for deep state/Zionist aligned interests.

Obviously sane Jews would want Ukraine to win. Gaza is very similar to Russia in terms of their evil goals; unlike Russia, thankfully Gaza is too poor to have an effective military.

Hopefully we manage to eventually crush Russia the way that Gaza has been crushed.

As for "deep state interests", clearly they're extremely uncomfortable with Ukraine actually winning. Biden and his administration used every trick he could to hold Ukraine back whenever they started winning.

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Hopefully we manage to eventually crush Russia the way that Gaza has been crushed.

Everything one needs to know about you in one sentence. Thanks toddy.

whenever they started winning.
copium
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useful putin idiot spotted

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wow this comment made more sat than all other comments together.
it is insult and worthless, but peter likes it and pays for it.
wondering how many bitcoin he already spend on his "friends" in ukraine.

Great work and reporting thanks.
Curious to hear how Ukrainians see China?
After all Russia and China signed a mutual strategic partnership deal the week before the war began and without Chinas ongoing support, buying Russian energy exports and providing manufactured goods Russia would not likely be able to still be waging this war.

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Good question.

Ukraine buys a lot of weapons parts from china, eg. for drones, and it's not uncommon to find Chinese suppliers that choose to only work with Ukraine. But I think in the bigger picture, China is backing Russia. Without Chinese support, this war would be over a lot sooner with the Russian economy collapsing even sooner.

Overall, China is an enemy of the west, and the amount of trade we do with China is stupid.

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should we cut off all trade with China? or curtail by at least half?

Apple $AAPL is seeking President Trump's administration approval to purchase memory chips from Chinese company CXMT, despite its US blacklist status over alleged military ties, FT reports.

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Why does the west and everyone else for that matter trade so much with China?
Because China pays the highest prices for commodities and sells manufactured goods for the lowest price.
China has built a highly efficient and competitive economy combining state capitalism with free enterprise and seriously determined strategic development.
If you do not trade with them you lose the best prices for your exports and pay more for your imports.
For decades inflation globally has been kept in check by China continuing to produce more and more efficiently.
China has beaten the west at its own game- capitalism.
They have learned how to respond to western imperialism since The Opium Wars while most in the west do not even know what The Opium Wars were.

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If you do not trade with them you lose the best prices for your exports and pay more for your imports.

Everyone suffers and dies in war. It's worth it.

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The crony capitalist neoliberal west LOST the trade war with China.

They beat you at your own game. Loser.

Deal with it.

BTW you might enjoy, and learn from the doco - Skyking.

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If you say so. We'll see what happens in practice-China.

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$1 Chinas Trillion trade surplus vs $40 Trillion US debt = regime change.

Skyking is a good watch...about the decline of US economy and culture- from the inside.

Recommended viewing for @coffeebadger

IMO the conflict between Ukraine and Russia is subservient to the wider contest between US-the west, and China.
China backs Russia by buying the oil and gas and supplying Russia with the manufactured goods Russia needs to sustain the war.
It is a win win for China- discounted oil and gas supplies and significant sales of goods to Russia all the while also supplying Ukraine with the supplies it needs to fight back.
At the same time the war reduces US-the wests supplies of war materials and costs the west in terms of energy supplies.

China has won the trade war and US global hegemony is being challenged.
China can now provide a near full service alternative to nations like Iran and Russia who are sanctioned out of SWIFT and trade with the west.
China is in a position of significant strategic and military power projection capacity because it converts commodities into manufactured goods more efficiently than anyone else can.

The world trades with China so much because they offer the best price for commodity exports and manufactured goods imports.

The US-west is spending huge sums both in Ukraine and the Middle East conflicts, running down military stocks and facing a stalemate while China has profited from cheap oil and near exclusive export markets in Russia and Iran.

China is playing both sides, staying out of direct conflict, supplying Ukraine, Russia and Iran with parts, while US western military is depleted.

Trumps Iran war has reduced the flow of oil from Iran and other gulf energy exporters to China, but Chinas massive oil reserves are still holding up while many US allies fuel supply chains are close to collapse.

In large part war is an economic function- and so far in the contest China is mostly profiting while the west is mostly being depleted financially and militarily.

Ukraine and the Iran-Middle East conflict are both proxy wars between US and China in a contest for global dominance.

Arguably, China is winning without being involved directly in the fighting.

Sun Tzu - 'The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.'

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110 sats \ 1 reply \ @anon 27 Jun

Russians and Ukrainians are brothers.
Fuck off back to Canada Peter.

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Ukrainians are the ones choosing to defend themselves against Russia's psychotic violence. They know full well that if they fail, Ukraine will be wiped out.

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Compelling to read, and you provided a perspective that couldn’t be found elsewhere. Thanks for providing signal

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Thanks! That's why I'm happy to go there and document.

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256 sats \ 1 reply \ @BITC0IN 25 Jun

You may want to use the coming bitcoin++ conf as a donation drive for used laptops.

I'm curious what modern concussion protocols are specifically.

god speed.

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That's a good idea. I'd be in a position to personally take a bunch of them to Ukraine with me.

Re: concussion protocols, I don't know full details. But my understanding is there's a bunch of special IV drips they give people with various drugs and other things. There's also rest schedules they they try to follow. And of course, diagnostic procedures to figure out the severity of the injury and the necessary response.

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really appreciate these reports, especially the mundane reflections of wet wipes and sleeping arrangements.

The personal views, supported by video and pic 👏👌

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Super cool... I love these reports, because they give another perspective and another point of view on the war

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Thank you!

That's one of the main reasons why I'm willing to go there: it's one thing to see reports from professional journalists; it's quite another to read reports from people you know from your community.

Same reason why I strongly encourage Bitcoiner's to visit Ukraine. You don't need to go to the front. But Lviv, Kyiv, and Odesa are reasonably safe and easy to get to. And you'll have a much better understanding of the situation by seeing it first hand. Plus, Ukraine still allows for AML/KYC free crypto purchases, without limits: bring some cash and stack some sats. :)

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I, too, appreciate the first hand accounts. It's very hard to evaluate the various voices you hear online, but when it is somebody in a community to which you belong, it becomes much easier. Thanks for writing these.

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These write-ups are fascinating. I get the sense that the fighting is informal, without much of a command structure or hierarchy. Is this accurate? Is there a lot of making do with what is at hand?

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Not at all. Ukraine is a professional army, with a professional command structure and hundreds of thousands of soldiers serving at a given time. E.g. Sarah, a Non-Commissioned-Officer, has something like five or six levels of command structure above him.

I think what you're seeing here is that Ukraine - similar to the US - has a very flexible army, with relatively low bureaucracy in most circumstances. That's why soldiers and commanders relatively low in the command structure can decide to work with volunteers such as myself without having to consult higher ups or fill out a ton of paperwork.

Also, remember that in the photos above, soldiers aren't wearing combat uniforms in many cases because they're not doing combat jobs at that time. Either they're on break, on their personal time, or they're doing non-combat tasks like buying supplies from the supermarket. It's safer to just blend in with everyone else; Russia's drones have cameras, and there are Russian spies in Kramatorsk and other front-line areas.

Another factor is that I have a legitimate Ukrainian press card, issued by the Ukrainian government. What that means is I've passed a security check on the basis that I'm a professional journalist, and need to have special access to do my reporting job. The "professional journalist" bit is kinda a stretch: I have been paid $1000 for a genuine reporting job, a few months ago; nothing more.

But the security check is quite real: the Ukrainian SBU (counter-intelligence agency) certainly has checked my Twitter profile and bio and convinced themselves that my intentions are good and I'm probably not a Russian spy. That's not an invasive check: it's just a form where you say who you are, and they do the rest; for me I'm such a public figure they just approved it without any further questions two weeks later.

In the context of this type of volunteering/fundraising, it makes it quite easy and legally clear for me to do interviews with soldiers and take photos and videos. And yes, units I have worked with have asked me for my press card and checked that it was real.

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checked my Twitter profile and bio and convinced themselves that my intentions are good and I'm probably not a Russian spy. That's not an invasive check: it's just a form where you say who you are, and they do the rest; for me I'm such a public figure they just approved it without any further questions two weeks later.

hahaha not too rigorous... Plenty of peeps on Twitter saying you're a spoof so... eh, there's that

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11 sats \ 2 replies \ @Fenix 25 Jun

What’s $LADA? Apparently I got lost in the reading.

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It's the meme coin that some Solana memcoin degens created, with all the trading fees going to a Solana address that I control: https://x.com/i/status/2055446553565831283

Not the first time this has happened to me (on bags.fm they can even direct fees from a coin to a Twitter account). But the one that has generated the most.

I personally don't own any of these coins; I'm not touching trading...

Crazy to read! Can’t wait for this war to end. Truly is shocking Ukraine has been at this for 4 years!! And still putting up a fight to avoid falling under Russian influence.

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TrophyLab bad for Vlad as battlefield losses spill the secrets they had #1513003

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