50 sats \ 2 replies \ @mallardshead 30 Jul 2023 \ on: Stacker Sports- Meta Takeover- Day 25 meta
- Dalvin Cook going to Jets is actually significant
- Jalen Ramsey is irrelevant
- Jaguars are a contender
- Broncos will win the AFC West
- Bills are bullshit
- Bengals are bullshit
- Browns are being slept on (defense)
- Trust not the Ravens
- Anyone can win the NFC South
- Packers are in a rebuild without having to look like one
- Tampa beats Minnesota week 1
- Trey Lance wins comeback player of the year wherever he is
- Dan Campbell battles Sean Payton for coach of the year
- Week 1 will be the most costly week 1 in history for Vegas
I am a Lance supporter. Dude has all the talent in the world and I hope in a few years we are talking about him as a top 5 QB in the league but to be comeback player of the year, don't you usually have to have accomplished something before getting hurt and needing to make a comeback?
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The leading candidate by odds for the award is Demar Hamlin, for perhaps obvious reasons. But what I've noticed over the years is there's a primacy/recency bias, and it's always a player that surges late in the season out of the group of candidates, and it's usually a QB (has been least 6 years), and someone putting up fantasy points (unfortunately). There's a social buzz around Lance for whatever reason, and if he gets dealt at the trade deadline, he'll be setup to exploit voters and be an exciting season refresh. Truth is I believe the players that will actually deserve the award by season's end will be either Calvin Ridley or Chase Young.
*Note: this is only a bet I'd take because of the astounding +6000 odds and tiny capital allocation of $50 for myself.
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