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  1. Same as today in 2023
  2. I do not like to predict something. Why? Because I am always right and I am afraid that will predict something bad for humanity. I like to observe more what is going on around me and get my own conclusions from my instincts. Yes, I expect a larger Bitcoin adoption after the halving. The news will bring Bitcoin into the ears of more people and start their interest.
  3. Not too much like we have today. But one trend is clear: NOSTR market is getting very powerful and we will see new things there. #261758
Nice summary & fair play on predictions. I find it too easy to get carried away with clown world also.
  1. My economic predictions can be found above. TLDR: more chaos
  2. Hope for and expecting more local community-driven initiatives. I think we're going to start seeing a growth spurt of local circular economies. Especially given we may even see the internet vulnerable, to usher in Starlink. People will want less dependency online, not more. Many cell networks in the West are going to switch to using it end of this year 👀 Want to see more innovation in private mesh networking.
  3. Nostr is going to triple in almost all active metrics over the next 6 months. And will attract some of the AI developer community, at long last. This, as we see censorship on the rise in recent weeks. I think we're going to have Nostr identity and do away with Alby / browser extension logins, with mobile auth & profile sharing super simple via QR/NFC. Lightning wallets doing away with seed backups and using Nostr auth to bootstrap onboarding.
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expecting more local community-driven initiatives. I think we're going to start seeing a growth spurt of local circular economies
Good point. I hope so, but I still have some doubts on this, maybe from 2025 forward will see more this. People are still afraid. When they will remove that fear of Bitcoin, then maybe.
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I too believe it will start without Bitcoin initially. Value for value in the old-time sense, buying local eggs, groceries, helping neighbours build, supporting those around you.
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