Yesterday was a long and busy day but everything went well. My wife is doing well after her minor surgery and the kiddos are keeping me busy while she is resting. There was one unfortunate casualty though, my cowboy hat. Ugh 150 day streak gone. I should have zapped when I jumped on to do the post but I thought I would jump on later to check the comments and release the zaps. Never happened. So like CMC with his touchdown streak, I have jumped right back on the horse to start anew.
I am looking forward to the Thanksgiving day games tomorrow. I think we should do a pick 'em since it is a 3 game set. I will post that shortly.
The NBA in-season tournament is humming along and somehow I am still alive in the pool. @undisciplined has posted the next set of games so don't forget to get your picks in before Friday. #325059
Sats for all.
Cheers, GR
Alright! I'm moving up the cowboy hat streak rankings and there are no speedbumps on my horizon.
Glad to hear your wife's doing well
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Thanks. She is in a bit of pain but resting. She is laying in bed with my daughter and the dog watching a movie right now so she is happy.
At least I surpassed my last streak. Last time I lost my hat I was in the 90s. This time 150, so I have to push for 200.
How did you do on your FreeBitcoin NFL bets last weekend? I won 4/7 but it was all low odd wins so I am actually down 1000 sats for the week (although 500 of that was that flyer I took on the Bears at those crazy odds that would have covered my whole week- almost worked out- I regret nothing).
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I think I lost about half my sats last week and only hit on 3/7. I'm using a totally new strategy this week with lots of hedges. I'm on both sides of everything, but if I had used this strategy last week, I would have come out ahead.
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Need a confusing esoteric name for your strategy like tradfi would make up.
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Ok here is what I came up with "Risk balanced odds arbitrage" and here is what chatGPT came up with "Quantitative Odds Optimization Model".
Who sounded more like an asshole?
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I like both of those. Yours is more descriptive but still really vague. ChatGPT's is pure vague jargon salad, while not being actually incorrect.
I think I'll use "risk balanced odds arbitrage" and sound really smart as I continue losing money every week. Maybe spin it off into a newsletter or something.
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Haha nice. I didn't balance any risk at all. Odds are crazy right now. Odds on Jags really caught my eye. I bet all underdogs except the 49ers.
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Well, according to my very sophisticated Risk Balanced Odds Arbitrage approach that's pretty good.
However, RBOA would suggest that the smarter money is on the Dolphins, Jags, and Chiefs, at current odds.
I have noticed the odds swinging towards the underdogs, though. I think people jump in early and throw money on the underdogs, which makes the odds wonky for a couple of days.
First try: VOSH
Vegas Odds-based Strategic Hedging
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I like it has an acronym.
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Yeah, but you can actually decipher what I'm doing from it, so it needs to be more muddled and pretentious.
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Good to hear your wife is doing well.
Man, did you catch that Raptors game? Pascal had a great game. The Raps really dodged a bullet there at the end. Gary Treant Jr. though... missing both clutch free throws? SMH...
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Yes, it was a great game. Even more impressive because the Pacers dynamic duo backcourt had amazing games too. They were 12/22 from 3 or something ridiculous like that. Pascal was awesome. Raps are much more fun to watch this year. A lot more ball movement.
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glad to hear about your wife, sorry to hear about your cowboy streak
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150 days was pretty good. I will aim to surpass it this time.
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