oracle

Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)

> And if only insiders/experts participate, will there be enough liquidity to generate decent predictions?

<insert it depends meme>

Don't know, guess it depends on the specific event you're betting on :)

And this is somewhat related to the question about market manipulation. I know that @kr and me discussed how to create a PM in the past and we really struggled with how to get enough liquidity.

At some point I realized: fuck this, I don't care about liquidity, thinking if I will have enough liquidity **_before I even have built anything_** sounds like the good old meme about premature optimization being the root of all evil :)

Maybe I don't even want a liquid market? Maybe I just want to have some fun? :) 