I've been mining for more than three years now. Earnings have never been this low since. I've heard several individuals say that bitcoin mining is no longer profitable and suggest that I sell the GPUs. I have 5 RTX 4070, and I'm only making $2–$3 a day. Any feedback would be appreciated.
By referring to GPUs you're definitely not mining bitcoin, since for over a decade now that ASICs have been available and dominating bitcoin mining.
In any case, regarding mining, profitability is not a unidimensional thing, it depends heavily on 2 big factors which are the price of electricity and the efficiency of the mining gear you're using. It also depends on the investment cost and time to pay it off, however that's a lot harder to reason about.
Systems like bitcoin are almost always profitable for someone to mine, but unlikely that they're profitable to everyone unless there's a quick run up of price because deployment of new hashrate is constrained by the real world, while price can theoretically shoot up arbitrarily fast.
The mining difficulty adjusts with the observed hash rate, which means that if new hashing power comes online because it's currently possible to be profitable, the difficulty will go up, pricing out people who have either higher energy cost of lower efficiency devices. The opposite is also true, if the profitability is too low, many miners will be disconnected which in turn will make the difficulty go down and the profitability higher, bringing back new miners.
This means that the system tends to equilibrium and is by design always profitable for the marginal miner who can get access to the best gear and cheaper energy, aside from quick price swings which might make everyone or no one profitable for a while.
reply
My mind setup has never been "profitable". But if we lower out time preference and start measuring out life in sats, eventually the shift occurs and we become abundant. When we have that, we don't need profits.
reply
I have 5 RTX 4070, and I'm only making $2–$3 a day
That means you are mining shitcoins... right. So we have here another shitcoiner that got rekt and now comes to Bitcoin.
reply
If you use the waste heat for something, then profitability becomes extremely competitive with the large scale miners :)
reply
GPUs? What are you mining?
If you have a low cost for electricity you can probably still make a profit mining bitcoin during the bull market, even after the halving.
reply
Do you need to run a profit in current fiat terms?
If you expect Bitcoin to appreciate dramatically, as many of us do, then the current exchange rate isn't very important.
In this post #474759, I took a stab at estimating what a reasonable estimate of bitcoin's present value is.
If you think about what you expect bitcoin to be worth, are your profits reasonable?
reply
sure, you should sell the GPUs and buy Bitcoin with that
reply
Do you mine through Nicehash?
If you get sats as rewards, nevermind what is the dollars equivalent
reply
Do you mine through Nicehash? If you get sats as rewards, nevermind what is the dollars equivalent Yes i mine through Nicehash.
reply
Long time ago my friend had even lower dollars reward on nicehash and forget about it. Later he told me it's a couple hundreds of sats. The question is how long are you ready to wait...
reply