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So far, it grows. Year ago Typerbole estimated LN fees as 0.1% of total fees paid. Just for the reference, in the end of 2017 it was 0%. LN payments will always inducing some onchain activity because economic actors will need to buy and sell liquidity in LN.

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Good point, good link!

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Would be nice to see a follow up to this. unfortunately Typerbole recycleed his nym and isn't active anymore on that account

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