The Ukraine war is the key to understanding the geopolitical conflict between the USA, the Europeans and China. The Europeans have no resources of any significance, so they are dependent on either landing them or acquiring them through fair trade. What will they do? At the same time, the Americans could be energy self-sufficient if they had a proper government. So the whole thing can change very quickly. The Ukraine war is the lever to split Russia into many individual states and to extract the resources at prices that would then be determined by the demand side