Most of the inputs come from Pro Football Reference. I basically use a bunch of general performance indicators (win/loss ratio, total points scored, etc) along with offensive/defensive performance data (passing, rushing, penalities, etc) and do a binary classification.
I trained the model using statistics from every game since 2004.
Neat. I've been wanting to do something similar to this for basketball (and eventually baseball, hockey, soccer, etc.).
Was the data fairly accessible?
I didn't get very far in looking into it, but it seemed like the gamelogs were behind a paywall.
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38 sats \ 1 reply \ @ken 11 Sep
I've built a similar model for NCAA basketball, and it looks like professional basketball data is available:
The basic data can be scraped from the tables for free. Deeper information might be behind a paywall, but I think you could create a basic model from the data that is freely available.
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Thanks. I only actually need the game logs and I'll eventually want to integrate college and international into the model.
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