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26 sats \ 6 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 10 Nov \ parent \ on: All States are Empires of Lies econ
That does remind me of something I heard, but I don't remember from where exactly. I want to say Steve Levitt.
Anyway, it was a prominent economist answering a question about macro forecasts and he said that almost no economists actually believe macro models, including the economists using and creating them.
I can believe that one!! :)
Makes you wonder about how they put out the baloney they slice and dice for us.
They know it is baloney, we know it is baloney and they know we know it is baloney….etc.
I earned my BS detector the hard way, floating in BS continually and trying to survive.
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I actually don't think it's always their fault. Many of them are just exploring different models. Publishing forecasts based on those models is supposed to establish a baseline to later judge the model against.
They often aren't asserting that people should act as though the forecast is accurate, but if they get convenient results some activist group will start broadcasting the results far and wide.
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That is so. The activist group or even hyperventilating profiteer make all the noise that attracts attention to the model. Then they try to form others’ opinions based on the models.
Hey, doesn’t this seem familiar? It seems to me that this sounds a lot like scientism or The ScienceTM.
It is a bit tedious.
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BTW, I have never heard of Steve Levitt.
Who is he?
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Freakonomics author. I may have misspelled his name.
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Ok, I am familiar with freakonomics! It is somewhat interesting in that it looks at unusual topics. Wasn’t he the one who wrote about sumo? I used to watch every sumo tournament’s highlights when there was a tournament, through the whole thing.
When I saw the article about sumo, it brought back memories.
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