42 sats \ 1 reply \ @satgoob 13 Nov \ on: Markets are pricing in a 1/20 chance Trump will be assasinated before Jan 20th Politics_And_Law
Isn't part of that gap due to a bid / ask spread and interest in taking the opposition? Also, the Kamala position is probably a relic of pre-election where people haven't liquidated or now can't
Oh that's a good point. The odds would be more in the 3%ish range then.
reply