RBOA Picks: Serie A \ stacker news ~Stacker

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254 sats \ 10 comments \ @Undisciplined 22 Nov Stacker_Sports

Here are today's picks using my proprietary betting strategy at Freebitcoin. For details about what Risk Balanced Odds Arbitrage is and why it works see #342765.

There are more matches up, including some Budesliga, but they're too far out to find odds on.

For a hypothetical 1k wager on each match, distribute your sats as follows:

Outcome 1	Outcome 2	Outcome 3	Bet 1	Bet 2	Bet 3
Sevilla	Osasuna	Draw	400	300	300
Real Sociedad	Real Betis	Draw	510	210	280
Real Madrid	Getafe	Draw	700	120	180

RBOA is up almost 85k now. A ton of our past matches are being played tomorrow, so that will be a big test.

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26 sats \ 1 reply \ @suraz 22 Nov

Sevilla and Real Sociedad might play to a draw, while Real Madrid could secure a win. Let's go...

10 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 22 Nov

We should be covered, in any contingency.

35 sats \ 3 replies \ @Coinsreporter 23 Nov

Does this mean a wager of 1k sats here will be returned back 5400 sats if Barca wins?

Sorry to bother you but I'm a noob in betting and it's surprising that Barca who is a sure winner is held like this.

20 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 23 Nov

Only if the odds don't change.

The betting system they use is just a pool that gets divided up at the end. You should expect the odds to end up being fairly close to those in a sportsbook by the end.

I describe the system in more detail here.

21 sats \ 1 reply \ @Coinsreporter 23 Nov

Ahh thanks 🙏 I got it. In the end Barca will be favourites to win and the winnings will be distributed according to final odds.

Thanks for your RBOA segment, I'm officially betting today with 100 sats on every game.

The strategy that you've discussed is still not understandable for me. Call me stupid but please tell me this.

Do I need to wagger on all three outcomes in the same proportion to follow this strategy?

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 23 Nov

Technically, no. You don't need to wager on every outcome to expect positive returns. All early bets have positive expected returns.

The reason I bet on every outcome, in those proportions, is because it limits the downside volatility.

18 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby 22 Nov

I still have 11k sats left on freebitcoin and since they don't offer football or any other sports I know anything about anymore I guess rolling with your strategy is a good way to deploy the sats. You are a published author after all.

40 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 22 Nov

Follow my approach and those 11k will balloon to 12k before you know it.

22 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 22 Nov

I would but these games aren't even listed anymore. Did they get removed due to RBOA? Is this the Bitcoin sports betting equivalent of getting kicked out of the casino for counting cards?

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 22 Nov

I still see them. Do you see any games listed?

I remember a few times last year when the events weren't showing up for me.