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If we think it makes sense to compare the adoption of internet protocols (IP/TCP) to the adoption of bitcoin protocols (Bitcoin/Lightning), then yes, we are that early.
TCP was invented in the 70s, while bitcoin has only been around for 15 years. Current bitcoin adoption is more comparable to internet adoption in the 1990s, so basically the start of Web 1.0.
That might even be a generous comparison, as I’m equating bitcoin to TCP rather than lightning to TCP, which might be a more accurate analogy.
So Bitcoin would honestly be around the year.... what 1995? 1996? Earlier?
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0 sats \ 4 replies \ @ek 6 Dec
Definitely pre-iPhone at least.
However, to be fair, bitcoin requires significantly less deployment of hardware to compared to the internet since bitcoin is mostly just software (excluding ASICs).
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iphone, around 2007 seems really, really late to me... This whole thing feels like 1996
I listened to Bob Burnett on 'What Bitcoin Did' a while back... and he compared this year (halving + etfs) to the release of Windows 1995 when personal computers (PCs) really appealed to consumers and 'went mainstream'. That's what 'the etfs' are combined with the popularity.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 6 Dec
iphone, around 2007 seems really, really late to me...
I know, I just wanted to give you an upper limit on an estimate.
and he compared this year (halving + etfs) to the release of Windows 1995 when personal computers (PCs) really appealed to consumers and 'went mainstream'.
So we're agreeing that it's indeed very early for bitcoin adoption if we still compare it to internet adoption? PCs had to go mainstream before the internet could go mainstream.
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I guess that it's good that it's 'early'... but it sure is painful too. Having this perspective reminds me of what's involved... and the waiting that is required/will be required just for the world to "catch up" to where the Stackers are. Maybe a full 10 years... for the world to 'get' to the point where most Stackers are today (Stacker News)
Want to see how 'some'/much of the public feels? Read the WSJ comments section on the Bitcoin/MSTR editorial.
The 'commenters' are calling it 'tulips' a 'bubble' and 'worthless' and any coin 'any day now' is going to replace it and it all 'goes to zero'. That's all they can say so
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the macrohardware that needs to be rediscovered are the giant stone structures with pointy tops. that would be a giant leap forward to plug bitcoin into those.
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