pull down to refresh

Operation Saylor - Episode 30/120

Hi again and welcome to another episode of the Operation Saylor. This is update number 30, corresponding to December 2024.
If you are reading this for first time, you might want to check Episode 1, where my plan and details are explained. That will get you in context.

Stats

  • BTC stack: 1.26540283BTC
  • € stack: 530.20 €
  • Current total value in €: 118,213.66 €
  • € into BTC: 30,000 €
  • Paid back to bank: 10,619.80 €
  • Outstanding debt + interests: 33,324.53 €
  • Installments to go: 91

Charts


Log

Hello again and welcome to another episode of the series. This episode comes after an unplanned break of a couple of months. All is well, life simply kept getting in the way. Apologies for that.
With the extra time between episodes, our little Operation has had time to see its figures change quite a bit recently. You can check the details above, but clearly the simplest visual cue is the blue line in the stack vs debt chart. With the strong price hikes of november and finally breaking through 100K, the value of the Operation's war chest has gone parabollic and keeps leaving the debt behind.
I think it's easy to look at these figures and charts right now and think: "fucking hell, this is clearly a massive win". I personally think it is. By now, I'm assuming I'm not going to see the blue line go below the orange one again at all. But, for new readers or veteran-yet-forgetful ones, this scent of victory wasn't always around. You can simply travel back to earlier episodes (you have a list of links at the bottom of this post) and replay history. You can go read, month by month, how figures were looking like, where my thoughts where and what people discussed during those times. The vibes were clearly not the same as today, and success was anything but granted (or at least that was the mood).
It's funny. Most people will agree that the Speculative Attack makes sense on paper. But then we have this very emotional reactions which go opposite to that rational bit. When the gamble starts, we suddenly feel uncertain about it. When it has clearly worked (as planned), we are surprised and excited about, as if we didn't believe at the start that it would. I include myself in this behaviour. I wonder why we behave this way.
With a strong evidence like this very specific Operation that this works, some readers might be wondering... should I go and do it? And... should I go and do it now?
I'll jump into those questions in the next episode. In the meanwhile, I wish you a good time with your families and great start for 2025. As always, thanks for reading and I'll see you next month.

Previous episodes

Inspiring! I'll take out a loan myself if btc price hits the bottom again. Thanks
reply
76 sats \ 4 replies \ @ek 17h
Do you think you’re going to do this again in the next bear market in 2026? I’m definitely considering it. As I mentioned in the past, I also took out a loan at the end of 2022 but only €10k.
reply
194 sats \ 1 reply \ @pillar OP 17h
Will dive into that next month.
I think there might be a case for doing it earlier.
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 17h
👀
reply
0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Skipper 7h
next bear market in 2026
  1. what
reply
5 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 7h
reply
88 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 15h
Last episode I predicted a big Q4 for you. Congrats.
reply
Indeed, you called it out in August. Good one!
reply
Fantastic!
reply
How is the acquisition strategy by convertible debt different from all the seignorage tokens like OHM (Olympus) ? I mean if you consider the underlying stock of Microstrategy to the OHM token, and being a holder of the equity rather than someone investing in the bonds/notes?
reply
21 sats \ 1 reply \ @pillar OP 11h
I don't understand shit from what you said nor see any connection with the OP.
reply
Yeah my bad, a bit of an autopilot brainfart. At best it was tangentially related to the Saylor strategy. I get the whole strategy is to acquire and hold BTC long term, I thought since we're posting about the strategy someone had an opinion on my question.
The whole question of what happens to equity holders of the debt collateral doesn't really apply unless you're issuing stock of your own (which you're not).
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @yoshi 7h
OHM is a shitcoin
reply
Its very nice to see the mindest has changed. I always look forward to your episodes. Congrats and Merry Christmas.
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mo 18h
I'm happy for you and thanks for keeping us updated on this interesting experiment. Merry Xmas and look forward to keep reading your thoughts nad insights during your journey.
reply