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Link to Week 5 recap

Here we are with week 6 Sunday! I missed Thursday again, so not off to a great start. Hopefully my parking lot conversation with myself has better results than the Eagles' one did.

Away TeamHome TeamPickML OddsResult
PHINYGPHI-400MISS
DENNYJDEN-370
NENONE-190
LACMIALAC-210
DALCARDAL-160
ARIINDIND-525
SEAJAXSEA-110
LARBALLAR-360
CLEPITPIT-290
TENLVLV-225
SFTBTB-180
CINGBGB-1300
DETKCDET120
BUFATLBUF-205
CHIWASWAS-230

I should also note - this week I made most picks on a sports book that gives me an early payout if my pick goes up by 17, regardless if they win or lose. I will continue to track wins and losses based on the final results as I have been, but maybe I'll avoid some nasty late game whiffs like I wish I did last week with Miami and Arizona.

Tampa Bay? How dare you?

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I knew you’d pick SF and we needed variance ;)

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But really I’m high on baker right now

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He is throwing two picks today.

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Quite possibly. But will he lead another game winning drive?

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Hopefully not.

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I think it will be a very entertaining game

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I was going to sit out a week because of how badly I wiped out last week, but I ended up making an Ember parlay:

Broncos + Rams + Bills + Packers + Commies @ 3.73x

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That’s the spirit

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If it misses, I'll definitely be taking next week off.

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No weeks off for this degenerate

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CIN over GB

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That’s why I didn’t take GB in survivor!!

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50 sats \ 1 reply \ @ken 12 Oct

Here are my model forecasts! Let's see how well we do.

MatchupPredicted WinnerConfidenceWinner OddsLoser Odds
Eagles vs. GiantsEagles82%-456+456
Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers81%-426+426
Packers vs. BengalsPackers77%-335+335
Seahawks vs. JaguarsSeahawks76%-317+317
Broncos vs. JetsBroncos74%-285+285
Bills vs. FalconsBills74%-285+285
Chargers vs. DolphinsChargers72%-257+257
Buccaneers vs. 49ersBuccaneers68%-212+212
Commanders vs. BearsCommanders67%-203+203
Cowboys vs. PanthersCowboys60%-150+150
Saints vs. PatriotsSaints59%-144+144
Cardinals vs. ColtsCardinals56%-127+127
Raiders vs. TitansRaiders53%-113+113
Chiefs vs. LionsChiefs53%-113+113
Rams vs. RavensRams52%-108+108
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Beat me on the chiefs. But I got patriots and colts right

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