Although the 2028 U.S. presidential race is just over three years away, betting markets are already sizing up candidates’ odds, including ineligible candidates like current U.S. President Donald Trump and Elon Musk.
This visualization shows the current implied probabilities for the candidates of the 2028 U.S. Presidential election based on Polymarket data as of October 14, 2025.
đź”— visualcapitalist.com
J.D. Vance26.7%
Gavin Newsom6.7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.7%
Marco Rubio0.0%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson6.7%
Wes Moore0.0%
Andy Beshear6.7%
Pete Buttigieg0.0%
Donald Trump46.7%
Kamala Harris0.0%
15 votes \ 734 days left
They forgot Ron DeSantis
You forgot DeSantis
SN only lets you have 10 choices, and I ordered them by the Polymarket odds.
And Mamdani
Mamdani is a naturalized citizen. Not eligible.
Good point.
That's a shame though.
I would have liked to see Bernie vs Donald back in the day but the Democrats were, and still are, owned by Goldman Sachs.
And Big Mike Obama
That's fake news!
Melanija does dirty work for Putin.
This list is depressing
wait, how do i vote for donald trump? not the stupid child, the current one?
this is america
yeah. the fat orange one. he said he'll run again in 2028. he even had hats printed up in china that say so.
Mitt Romney??
Do Libertarians vote?