The London Financial Center just spooks the market and raises insurance premiums ... scalping both sides of the trade, that's why MI6 overthrew the Shah to begin with... to weaponize oil market and ensure the middle east doesn't have unilateral control of the financial system
The Council on Foreign Relations' "Project 1980s" (launched in 1975) explicitly called for halting such industrial development worldwide—including in the U.S. It became Carter administration policy. Their own words: "A degree of controlled disintegration in the world economy is a legitimate objective for the 1980s and may be the most realistic one for a moderate international economic order."
By the mid-1970s, the Shah was leveraging oil wealth to rapidly industrialize. Over 30 nuclear power plants were in construction or planning stages (with France and West Germany). A massive steel industry was rising. Once Khomeini took power, he canceled every modernization project—nuclear plants, steel mills—denouncing them as "Western" and "anti-Islamic." The resulting supply disruptions and media-fueled panic shattered economies in France, Germany, and the U.S. The City of London's banks profited massively from speculative oil markets, insurance, and global energy/raw-materials settlements.
For context, historical oil shocks were much smaller relative to global supply.
1973 oil embargo → ~8% supply disruption
1978 Iranian revolution → ~9%
1980 Iran–Iraq war → ~7%
1990 Gulf War → ~7%
2022 Ukraine shock → ~2%
The scenario markets are suddenly pricing now is closer to ~19% of global supply.
That’s roughly double the scale of the 1973 oil crisis.
If traders even partially believe that risk, a large repricing in crude makes sense.
What does it all mean? Lotsa dots. Is the point that the strait of Hormuz is not blocked?
Never has been.
The London Financial Center just spooks the market and raises insurance premiums ... scalping both sides of the trade, that's why MI6 overthrew the Shah to begin with... to weaponize oil market and ensure the middle east doesn't have unilateral control of the financial system
https://www.shiptraffic.net/fso-fpso-tankers-current-position-map
Oil price to the moon! (I guess it will be around 140 $ a barell..