Hmmm I'm perplexed now, because I watched Dr Jeff Ross on what Bitcoin did pod and I really enjoyed Jeff's way of speaking, but reading the comments! Wow, he gets absolutely slaughtered, mainly about his price predictions
Is he and the other Jeff (Booth) just parodies of the current Bitcoin inflooencers?
I know that I get solid value information here on SN from certain knowledgeable stackers, we are seeing the inevitable bots sliding into the replies but reading between the lines or responses, the stackers who provide the value stand out like a sore thumb đź‘Ť
OK back to the title of the post...
Did the great financial crisis sow the seeds for what is to come?Did the great financial crisis sow the seeds for what is to come?
If we look at the fourth turning being an 80 year period with WW2 ending in 1945, we're slightly running over in literal terms in 2026, but back in 2008, what was that? The third turning? But the gfc escalated the fiat debt end of days, even if the general population didn’t realise what printing all these dollars would do to the economy in the future
Covid speeded it upCovid speeded it up
Whatever your opinions on covid are?.... convid, global test of human obedience, depopulation by injection of slow poisoning jabs (even though practically speaking they could poison the food/water supply whenever they want)
But the amount of dollars entering the supply absolutely increased exponentially, compounding the gfc, still not relevant to the unaware
Fast forward to 2025-26Fast forward to 2025-26
We have thousands of young people leaving full time education, they are saddled with debt, the job market is in absolute disarray, employers are not sure if Ai is displacing jobs, the cost of real estate is out of reach for most young people
The boomers have benefited from Bretton Woods, and the Nixon 1971 shock, fuelling the astronomical rise in asset prices, resulting in thousands of elderly people sitting on huge empty houses, which represents their entire net worth and arguably their identity
Why not just execute a CEO?Why not just execute a CEO?
The young today are getting increasingly desperate, as stated the opportunities are more and more out of their reach, it goes beyond desperation and there is a very real possibility of a civil war, young people will just revolt if things are so pointless that there is no point going on
The Government responseThe Government response
Hey! Look over there, they're the bad guys!
What we need is a global war! (To distinguish the civil war)
And what we need is a crystalising event like a Pearl harbour or 9/11 to unite the nation in a coordinated response
The military will offer an escape route for the youth, wiping education debt, healthcare for them and their families, preferential access to homes with reduced payment plans
Inflating away the debtInflating away the debt
This is the part which is the hardest for me to comprehend
The debt increases to rise because war needs the money printer but the strength of the dollar decreases
The other side of warThe other side of war
We should see a post war Bretton woods type agreement but the dollar hegemony may be over, the Dutch ruled the world, then the British, then the US, who knows what the future holds
Current dayCurrent day
Which brings us back to today’s events in Iran, that is preparing the kindling for WW3, when all it needs is certain nation states to be picked as our enemy, if things get too desperate at home
WW's take decades to bubble up, but that also means there's decades of operations in advance to prevent or shape them
In many ways, it's already started... there's no shortage of writings about 5GW tactics, unrestricted warfare, employed by China. Not that we're innocent, CIA/MI6 have done those same type of tactics forever across the world.
Military build-ups are happening everywhere, but those are just as much deterrence during a period of change as anything else.
Have to go back further, much further. China was brought into the WTO in 2001, that was one catalyst towards the GFC.
Undoubtedly a psyop, but the purpose of a thing is what it does, and it was a major catalyst for the US to re-shore much of its supply chain and cast China in a negative light.
It also brought into the overton window the susceptibility of our elections to interference by foreign intelligence infiltration (5GW)
It was undoubtedly a WW3 operation as much as it was a psyop.
Covid was also an excuse to paper over a lot of the spending that would be needing to re-shore supply chains, the influx of new dollars actually de-leveraged private credit for years to enable new cap-ex
The Triffin Dilemma created a number of these issues in geopolitics to begin with, and the dollar was unsustainable and would have lead to a much more catastrophic collapse and weakening of the US were it not for Bitcoin to act as a battery for inflation and allow the dollar to re-collateralize. Bitcoin is also an answer to anything China might have attempted to export its own currency to finance a war effort.
We do need to see the countries, mostly Europe, that have been the beneficiaries of the Triffin Dollar hold the bag. Europe's pretty fucked already, I don't think it's over... with the exception of a few states like Italy Hungary and Poland being brought into something new.
Defacto annexing the Venezuela, border security, decapitating Iran, and not falling for the trap of a head-on with Russia over a few russian speaking Ukrainian provences, are all fortification for something with China.
Re-shoring chips though removes a major reason people will use to justify action against China over Taiwan. US taking VZ, and south america more generally with installations in Argentina, ES, and others... Russia taking parts of Ukraine (Baltics next?) may all be part of a back-room deal... a deal that lets China have Taiwan and avoid something expensive for all parties. Use Bitcoin for international settlement.
Defense partnerships around the pacific imply there will still be readiness in the pacific, especially if Taiwan is taken since that lets China out of the island chain... but it may just be militarized in the coming decades rather than an all out war over an island of little consequence to the US.
That's my base case, China gets Taiwan without much fuss... Russia pushes back NATO, US focuses on it's own hemisphere and sea lanes, Bitcoin levels the global financial system, and nothing spirals too crazy. All back-channel negotiated already, we're just watching disclosure played out theatrically for deniability.
Re-reading this morning less bleary eyed
What's your vision for London UK over the next 5yrs?
I think about your response and my post was too centred on a specific subject, where the reality is 5D chess, with multi-faceted variable factions, jockeying for position in the greatest show on earth
The beginning of the first turning
The new world order, if US China and Russia divvy up the world, where does UK and perhaps western EU get left? as per my question
There's been signals that have made me buy into the theory that the FVEY countries become US states / protectorates... It's been pretty overt with Canada and Australia... NZ and the UK less so.... not sure exactly how that looks but it probably comes wrapped in a bailout from a sovereign financial crisis as pretext for regime change. They're already defacto US protectorates from a defense perspective and the integrated financial systems.
Europe is a little trickier because the EU itself if divided between globalists states and nationalists ones... the 2025 US defense directive listed Italy Poland Hungary as countries that could be pulled in closer to the US, perhaps some ex-NATO/EU defense or economic compact.
France is its own power in many ways so a smaller EU could be centered around it, Germany is the biggest question... do nationalists take back the country or not.
Hard to figure out a smooth landing for europe generally because their economy is so hollowed out by globalism. Nationalists states will have to attract their expats back to rebuild, I think Italy is the test for that, do they get serious about deportations and econ reform. Reform UK looks like a step towards US alignment/statehood.
So the UK's crashing out of EU with Brexit may make your theory slightly easier?
the UK gets a seat at the table of the Anglosphere bloc, we keep the pound in our pocket, the dollars weakens enough for Bitcoin to get reserve status, Tradegy is nationalised by US gov and crossing the Atlantic for work or family gets easier for Brits, but we look independent on paper and not the 51st state.
Yea Brexit confirmed direction
Not sure the pound sticks around, but if it does it'd be in a free float against Bitcoin... Honestly don't see how the UK has enough of an economy to warrant it though, dollarization seems more likely.
The optics are important to your point, ultimately British nationalists would be the natural allies of integration, but rightly may want to appear independent even if the UK is functionally a state.
Ireland fits in somewhere here too.
Perhaps some papering like Russia does with Kazakhstan and Belarus
Interesting, could be a way to unite Ireland, the south initially swallowed the woke EU mind virus and the north has it's history that goes without saying, historically Ireland has major ties to US and could be a way forward, i'd push back about seeing dollars in London, the GBP will prevail if the state of UK is retained, if GB goes full US ownership then dollars ok, but far too much history for Brits to fall under the US umbrella
Yea it's tricky, when Trump was talking about Canada he mentioned them keeping their flag anthem and identity, that's so that's whispering the blueprint.
How the GBP floats against the dollar/bitcoin is ultimately all that matters, the SWIFT/swap-lines/Triffin Dollar system is dead... so it may be possible to keep it in the new framework.
Ireland definitely needs to be liberated, their PM was trending here on St. Paddy's day... there's more Irish in the US than in Ireland... would love to see some Connor McGregor as king psyop to make that happen lol
Ronald Reagan on Steroids :)
Hard to say from here. Lots of countries are acting like major military conflict is coming, though. I'm not a historian, but my sense is that major military conflicts tend to follow large military build ups.
Also, if we are leaving the era of US hegemony, it's not likely that will be surrendered peacefully.
It's interesting - if you read anything from the 1930's (diaries, anything like that) something that very often came up, YEARS before the actual start of the war, was the sense that another world war was coming soon.
It took a while, but of course the granddaddy of all wars - WWII came.
World War 1 - it USED to be called "The Great War", because it was the biggest, most destructive war of all times. Until WWII.
A war with the PRC will not be unifying. The American communists are likely to secede over it. The good news is the Federal military is built to handle two fronts.
What we have is a "heads I win tails you lose" situation for the dictatorships that are holding back humanity's progress. If the dollar dies, Bitcoin becomes the new global reserve currency. If the US central government collapses, Megastrategy fills the power vacuum. The PRC can attack Taiwan directly, or it can collapse and Taiwan can lead the reconstruction.
The interests of US "imperialism" (which was always a leftist smear to begin with) and international laissez-faire capitalism are acting in perfect synchronicity to ensure that communism is completely shut out from the New World Order. The Republic of China will protect the Earth and its history while the Republic of America secures the future of our space-faring expeditions. We get a world where capitalism wins. We're getting 大一統, the Great Unity, with peaceful market competition among all nations until such time as we encounter aliens from a dimension where communism won.
no.
Next topic, please