The hardest part about being a contrarian is knowing when not to be.

This isn't some subtle, complex, situation. Russia is invading Ukraine for their own stupid reasons, mainly to simply steal Ukrainian land and resources. Same thing Russia has done for centuries. That's the reason why Russia is as large as it is in the first place.

Obviously, peaceful countries have a vested interest in not allowing blatant, genocidal, theft to be a successful strategy. Because the sort of countries who do that are likely to repeat it all over again. This time with more wealth to fund their next invasion.

Hell, most of the reason NATO even exists is because countries in NATO knew damn well that Russia might invade them next; being in NATO is (so far) very effective at ensuring you don't get invaded by Russia. And sure enough, the Russian invasion of Ukraine meant that Finland and Sweden finally joined - both of which have borders with Russia.