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Korea’s debt-fuelled property boom stirs echoes of Japan’s lost decadeswww.chosun.com/english/national-en/2025/06/06/PM4BGMF5CNEWXLUG7GMJLXEQ7M/
581 sats \ 10 comments \ @south_korea_ln 8 Jun econ
Some doom porn from the Korean peninsula.
In a report titled “Lessons from Japan’s Economic Experience,” published on June 5, the central bank said that private sector debt—excluding borrowings by financial institutions—rose to 207% of gross domestic product in 2023. That figure is nearly identical to Japan’s 208% in 1992, the year its economic downturn deepened into what became known as the “lost decades.”
In 1985, Japan’s private debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 162%. But a surge in speculative borrowing, fuelled by expectations of perpetual asset price increases and ultra-low interest rates from the Bank of Japan, drove a rapid accumulation of debt. When the BoJ began hiking rates in 1989—from 2.5% to 6% over a 17-month period—the bubble burst. Real estate prices collapsed, triggering a prolonged economic stagnation. By 2005, Tokyo home prices had dropped to just 40% of their 1990 peak.
Most people here cannot fathom that the housing price could drop by 60%... This would be a social Armageddon.
Yearly fight to keep my wife from fomoing into buying a house, whenever it pumps a bit~~
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10 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 8 Jun
She could buy two houses after a crash like that!
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42 sats \ 2 replies \ @south_korea_ln OP 8 Jun
For sure.
But every year the prices keep going up, every year she reminds me we should have bought the first time she mentioned it.
Then again, i remind her how Bitcoin has performed since that day, she briefly forgets about the FOMO.
Only difference is that with a house we'd have benefited from a loan. So in the end, listening to her would not have been a bad decision.
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119 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 8 Jun
listening to her would not have been a bad decision
The problem is that you're both aware of this.
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42 sats \ 0 replies \ @south_korea_ln OP 8 Jun
Yeah, but admitting it doesn’t reduce the sentence.
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0 sats \ 4 replies \ @Bell_curve 8 Jun
@south_korea_ln:
Why is housing in Tokyo 'affordable' yet Seoul is 'expensive'?
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10 sats \ 3 replies \ @south_korea_ln OP 8 Jun
Not sure i understand your question. I don't think Tokyo housing is considered affordable, is it? Not sure how both cities compare on the housing price rankings...
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0 sats \ 2 replies \ @Bell_curve 8 Jun
I consulted ChatGPT...

🏠 Median Housing Price-to-Income Ratio

Seoul:
Tokyo:

📊 Comparison Overview

CityMedian Annual IncomeMedian Housing PricePrice-to-Income Ratio
Seoul₩44.76 million (~$33,000 USD)$1.17 million USD~35.5x
Tokyo¥5.72 million (~$39,000 USD)$406,000 USD~10.4x(bambooroutes.com, https://www.realestate-tokyo.com/news/market-trends-japan-2023/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)

🔍 Key Insights

  • Affordability: Tokyo's median housing price is significantly lower than Seoul's, and its price-to-income ratio is also notably more favorable, indicating relatively better affordability for the average resident.
  • Income Disparities: Despite Tokyo's lower median housing prices, the median annual income in Tokyo is higher than in Seoul, which contributes to the more favorable affordability ratio.
  • Housing Market Dynamics: Seoul's higher housing prices relative to income may be influenced by factors such as limited housing supply, high demand in central districts, and speculative investments.
If you're interested in exploring further aspects such as rental affordability, historical trends, or specific neighborhood comparisons, feel free to ask!
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 8 Jun
Certainly! Let's delve into the median monthly rent for one-bedroom apartments in Seoul and Tokyo as of 2024, providing a clearer picture of rental affordability in these two major cities.

🏠 Median Monthly Rent

Seoul

Tokyo

📊 Comparison Overview

CityMedian Monthly Rent (1R)Median Monthly Rent (1K/1DK)
Seoul₩1,206,611 (~$900 USD)N/A
Tokyo¥65,400 (~$450 USD)¥74,000 (~$510 USD)(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnPDeoCK4WU&utm_source=chatgpt.com, https://www.ejable.com/japan-corner/housing-in-japan/average-rent-in-tokyo//?utm_source=chatgpt.com)

🔍 Key Insights

  • Affordability: Tokyo offers more affordable rental options compared to Seoul, especially for smaller apartments like 1R units.(https://www.ejable.com/japan-corner/housing-in-japan/average-rent-in-tokyo//?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
  • Location Impact: In both cities, rental prices are influenced by the location within the city. Central areas tend to have higher rents, while peripheral districts offer more budget-friendly options.
  • Apartment Size: The size and type of apartment significantly affect rental prices. Larger apartments or those with more amenities command higher rents in both cities.
If you're interested in more detailed information about specific neighborhoods or apartment types, feel free to ask!
Certainly! Let's compare the population densities of Seoul and Tokyo, two of the world's most populous and densely populated cities.

🏙️ Population Density Comparison

Seoul

Tokyo

📊 Density Comparison Table

CityPopulation Density (per km²)Area (km²)
Seoul~15,533~605.21
Tokyo~15,742~627.51(https://bambooroutes.com/blogs/news/south-korea-real-estate-market?utm_source=chatgpt.com, https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/in/Seoul/?utm_source=chatgpt.com, https://www.ejable.com/japan-corner/housing-in-japan/average-rent-in-tokyo//?utm_source=chatgpt.com)

🔍 Key Insights

  • Similar Densities: Both Seoul and Tokyo have comparable population densities in their central urban areas, with Tokyo's 23 special wards slightly surpassing Seoul's overall density.(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnPDeoCK4WU&utm_source=chatgpt.com)
  • Urban Concentration: Certain districts in both cities exhibit significantly higher densities, indicating areas of intense urban concentration.
  • Greater Tokyo Area: When considering the broader metropolitan area, Tokyo's density decreases due to its expansive suburban regions, whereas Seoul's metropolitan area is more compact.
If you're interested in exploring specific districts or historical trends in population density, feel free to ask!
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bell_curve 8 Jun
TL;DR: I was wrong, Housing in Tokyo is not 'affordable' but slightly 'cheaper' than Seoul depending on neighborhood/ward and population density
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @stack_harder 8 Jun
they should just call the report 'Zero Lessons Learned'
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