pull down to refresh

July 9th = Decision Day

The next tariff deadline is July 9th. If no trade deals are signed, if countries don't cave, Trump's going to crank up the pressure.
That could mean new tariffs, bigger tariffs, or just another round of uncertainty. And uncertainty? That's Wall Street's least favorite word.

Here's the game theory:

If tariffs are lower than expected, markets may breathe, rally, and resume the climb. If tariffs are higher than expected, brace for another nosedive.
If we land somewhere in between, expect volatility to spike until clarity arrives. This is a tightrope walk with grenades on both sides.

So What Should You Do?

Let's get real. If you're a trader, good luck. The market could flip in hours. News can change everything. You're gambling on momentum and hope. But if you're an investor — a real one — this is where you pay attention. Because every crash is a discount. Every panic is a potential opportunity. 2025 has already given us three flash crashes. Every single one was followed by a bounce. That could happen again post–July 9th. Or… maybe we enter a deeper recession. Nobody knows. But if you're playing the long game, this is where wealth gets built. Buy the right assets when everyone else is scared. Hold. Reap. That's it.

Final Thought

This isn't just about tariffs. It's about power, leverage, ego, and control. Trump wants to bring jobs back. He wants to break the global supply chain. He wants to make America manufacture again. But he's doing it with a sledgehammer. The world is watching. Markets are trembling. And July 9th might be the day everything flips — again. Stay alert. Stay calm. Stay smart. And if things crash? You know what to do.
Or August 1, or later, or debt worries, or TACO. All the expectations are already in the prices. I believe in 10+ years horizon and Bitcoin.
reply
The date for these tarrifs to come into effect is set for August 1 so I think, the judgement day should be August 1 instead of July 9.
reply
But you know investments move on the announcement of said future actions all the time!
reply
54 sats \ 0 replies \ @xz 6h
Also, markets have a tendency to price in events before they happen to a certain extent. Not trying to nullify the main point, just notice it was quite red across the board after the weekend yesterday.
I'm expecting quite a bit more.
reply
67 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 13h
I will be stacking sats regardless of the outcome.
reply
Back in March I opened some DXY calls as a barbell if the tariffs triggered a dollar squeeze, recently rolled them out till after summer... theta is expensive, but its the best insurance I can think of.
reply