Yes, expertise in a given area trumps all, doesn’t it. Except when other experts say differently. But, these experts are backed by state approval, aren’t they?

Rothbardian_fanatic

econ

Are Pro-Natalists the Real Malthusians?

By the way, I'm not saying that modern economists are humble. Far from it, and often they're way too confident about their knowledge of the economy.

But I don't think the reason for their overconfidence is because they believe the models per se. I think it's just plain old human nature: "I'm the expert and you're not; This is what all the other experts believe; Holding this belief is what will keep me looking smart among my peers; etc"