Probably Out Here Betting All My Sats Away, But... Elon and Bitcoin? \ stacker news ~Stacker

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Probably Out Here Betting All My Sats Away, But... Elon and Bitcoin?

576 sats \ 28 comments \ @denlillaapan 18h Stacker_Sports

Hey, Predyx betters of SN -- @Coinsreporter, @mega_dreamer, @Undisciplined etc -- Tell me what's up (here's the Predyx bet: https://beta.predyx.com/market/elon-mentions-bitcoin-in-2025-1751757602)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk publicly posts or replies on his verified X/Twitter account during the 2025 calendar year and includes the word “Bitcoin” in the text of the post or reply. Mentions in images, videos, or audio without the word appearing in the accompanying text will not count.

...and I see all these peeps making trades

Apparently @south_korea_ln knows something with that sizeable 40k bet.

So before I bid all my Lightning sats away on this done deal (at 84%, free 19% return -- 28% when I started buying)... what am I missing?!

Here is Elon on July 1st, talking about XChat

The word "Bitcoin" is straight-up in the text...

I should have just shut the fuck up and ridden this arbitrage to 100...?

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114 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 17h

I didn't see that tweet. I was responding to his affirmative response to the America Party embracing bitcoin, although he didn't include "bitcoin" in it.

42 sats \ 1 reply \ @denlillaapan OP 17h

He implied it with the "Fiat is hopeless" reply but not the literal word

12 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 17h

Exactly, and that made it seem pretty likely that he would mention bitcoin explicitly at some point in the next six months.

33 sats \ 0 replies \ @NEEDcreations 17h

Yeah, that was super close, but no cigar

84 sats \ 7 replies \ @mega_dreamer 17h

Hey guys, sorry for the confusion. This market was created on July 5th based on request from @NEEDcreations (https://x.com/NEEDcreations/status/1940932744508518651)

As you can can see the 1st bet was placed on July 5th.

To be fair to the NO holders - we will only consider tweets after market creation date.

Sorry about the confusion - I know I will get hate from the YES holders, but sometimes you gotta do the right thing.

To clear the confusion - I will add the market creation date on resolution criteria.

33 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer 17h

To compensate for the confusion (due to lack of market creation date in resolution criteria) - I'm happy to compensate people who bet on this market today (after this post was created) with 1000 sats to each user.

Users who bet today after this post was: @denlillaapan @SimpleStacker @Coinsreporter

Please send me invoice for 1000 sats.

51 sats \ 1 reply \ @denlillaapan OP 17h

Thank you, siiiir. Let's me go wage some more bets

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