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50 sats \ 12 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
It will cost you hundreds of thousands of sats (potentially millions) to keep them suppressed and cost me tens of thousands to keep them elevated. And you are betting they won’t end up being one of the final four teams which would make my shares money good and yours way in the hole. They don’t have to win the Super Bowl. They just have to get far enough to make you dummies capitulate.
Take that bet if you want but you better hope half the team gets hurt again.
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40 sats \ 6 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
4-4 by week 8 should have the market reflecting reality
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0 sats \ 5 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
Nah would have to be much worse than that. 49ers could go 3-5 in the first 8 and still win the division. With so many young players and being short receivers early I could definitely see them going 4-4. Hopefully 5-3 but I will take 4-4.
Stafford's back is messed up. If he misses much time the Rams are done. It will be between the 49ers and Cards and I don't think the Cards are winning 11 games.
I think the Eagles and Lions are the only teams in the NFC better than the 49ers and I expect the Eagles to take a step back with a tough schedule and less injury luck (they were the second least injured team in the league last year- that's not likely repeatable) and the Lions lost both their coordinators so we will see. Maybe the Commies could be better but I have to see how Daniels plays in year 2 and not have them win a bunch of games by dumbass luck.
So a small step back from Eagles and Lions and the 49ers are the best team in the NFC.
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40 sats \ 4 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
https://polymarket.com/event/super-bowl-champion-2026-731
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40 sats \ 3 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
Polymarket has Green Bay and Washington ahead of them too
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0 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
Packers can’t win in the playoffs. Good luck with that. I like their team but they ain’t winning the SB.
Commies need to prove it to me. As I said they have potential to be better. We will see. Their number 1 receiver wants to be traded.
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40 sats \ 1 reply \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
Don’t need to win the SB. Just a playoff game vs the 9ers
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
How did that go the last 5 times they tried that?
Shanahan owns Lafleur in the playoffs. 49ers will not lose to the Packers in the playoffs.
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40 sats \ 1 reply \ @BlokchainB 4 Aug
That’s the risk!
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
My bet is at 1/10 I have way more sats I am willing to lose than you guys have to hope the 49ers blow up.
Where it could get interesting is if you starting bidding the Bills up to 20 or 30%. Then it starts getting expensive for me to fight all of you but at 10-15. Peanuts.
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20 sats \ 2 replies \ @Coinsreporter 4 Aug
I think @HardMoney needs to learn that hedging against with No shares isn't the right way but to buy cheap Yes shares on other teams is.
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40 sats \ 1 reply \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
It’s fun to bet no on the niners tho. Market inefficiently priced there
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
For now. Come playoff time it will be accurately priced. By NFCCG it will be way undervalued.
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0 sats \ 7 replies \ @Undisciplined 4 Aug
Considering you can couple it with betting on the 49ers winning the Superbowl at BetPlay, it is legit BTC yield.
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62 sats \ 6 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
I’ll take an unhedged 11% yield
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20 sats \ 5 replies \ @Undisciplined 4 Aug
I see the appeal. It's how I think of many Predyx markets.
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62 sats \ 4 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
The only reason I hesitate to not put more would probably be the counterparty risk of sending sats away to predyx to custodian until the contract is paid out
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20 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 4 Aug
I hear you. Unlike most other markets, @grayruby is never going to give us good opportunities to exit.
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82 sats \ 1 reply \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
@grayruby ‘s biased fandom is the yield for this instrument
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 4 Aug
Ok we will see. Everyone, including you is underestimating the 49ers this year. Just like everyone underestimated the Eagles last year. Eagles were +1600 to win the SB going into last season.
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @HardMoney OP 4 Aug
I plan to hodl until Feb 8 2026
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