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Is AI hitting a wall?www.ft.com/content/d01290c9-cc92-4c1f-bd70-ac332cd40f94
343 sats \ 2 comments \ @Coinsreporter 16 Aug 2025 AI

Non Paywalled: https://archive.is/ttaPF

It may not have been OpenAI’s intention, but what the launch of GPT-5 makes clear is that the nature of the AI race has changed.
Instead of merely building shiny bigger models, says Sayash Kapoor, a researcher at Princeton University, AI companies are “slowly coming to terms with the fact that they are building infrastructure for products”.
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249 sats \ 0 replies \ @optimism 16 Aug 2025

I think that it would be good if there's a plateau in the current capabilities, because:

  1. It will force radical redesign over the long term, which is great because the current tech does not live up to the promise, and as the article notes: likely won't in the future either.
  2. It will allow for consolidation, where open models can commoditize the capabilities that are currently reserved for expensive hosted closed models
  3. It will allow for time to optimize what we have today, require smaller hardware for runtime and make it sovereignly accessible to the masses on affordable devices (this is also said to be China's long-run play because they want to manufacture these devices)
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241 sats \ 0 replies \ @SimpleStacker 16 Aug 2025

I've actually thought that for a long time: #892431

The AI race won't be who has the best model, because it seems like the gains to capabilities are already experiencing diminishing marginal returns.

The AI race will be won on new features, or perhaps clever ways to cost cut the existing models.

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