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Seems to me the state can push pretty hard on censorship before the masses will move.
It's not about the masses. It's about the margins.
Do you think the switching cost is high enough that it will prevent general bitcoin adoption
No, my guess is that we'll hit some critical mass of people who have a little bitcoin for some reason and then it will quickly become a ubiquitous medium of exchange.
This is an area where a very small number of us can really capitalize on the Minority Effect by just being obstinate about using bitcoin whenever possible.