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  1. Clients will be highly strategic (similar to web browsers), but may or may not be hard to monetize directly
kind of disagree with this one because I think there will be so much variation in clients that serve different use cases. Once you have a browser there's really no need for another one, but I can see people using multiple clients for different things / based on preference.

  1. Search across notes will become very centralized and very valuable, a credible contender to Google
  2. Search quality will primarily come from new signals of trust present in 1) the pub-key follower graph and 2) lightning payments on notes (“zaps”)
  3. Payments from a trusted pub-key to a note (a “zap”) will both increase the trust signal on the note for search quality and will increase the trust signal on the public key of the note’s author.
totally agree on these. I think the interesting question is how do you capture the signal from the payments in a way that can't be gamed. How do I know that a payment actually occurred and that it is a real signal?

  1. Payment will be required for the exchange of value among the loosely coupled relationships of users, clients, and relays. This will become the leading use-case for bitcoin/lightning payments volume in the next decade.
agree and would take this further I think payment will end up being required for all actions to fight spam - https://fountain.fm/clip/J0bxjdwzrt1p8vzSzXhv

  1. Advertising will not be coupled to consumption on clients. Consuming/participating in ads will be a user-chosen activity to earn value.
have you tried listening to the promoted episodes on Fountain? What do you think of this model where advertisers pay people directly to consume content?