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42 sats \ 1 reply \ @HardMoney OP 25 Oct \ parent \ on: KG apparently tied to DOJ investigation Stacker_Sports
That’s a good point. Sometimes the fine print in these are restrictive or too subjective tho. Could read like “if he is impeached or resigns for health reasons”
Oracle could suspend the payout arguing criteria wasn’t met arguing a subjective take or just rugging it altogether and suspending the market
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 25 Oct
But then the problem is that the prediction market isn't really answering the question people want answered because it's omitting part of the outcome set.
It's all part of trying to predict the system from inside the system.
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