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I've heard the Fed is not affected by shutdowns in the same way, so I doubt they're prevented from dropping rates.

don't think OP means in a practical/paying-bills sort of way...?

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Maybe not primarily, but that's how I took the final question.

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I think a shutdown increases the probability of a rate cut because Powell can't say we are worried about the labor market overheating, wages are outpacing inflation, etc etc

I wish he would say: the job market in the private sector is strong ergo no rate cut lol

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“The Federal Reserve is not federal and it doesn’t have a reserve.”

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