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Arthur Hayes Explains Stablecoins under Bessent -2- Stablecoins and Treasuries will neuter the Fed.mp3
Haven't listened to it yet (NA is a great podcast tho), but to me it seems like the Fed neutered itself.
This current situation is the result of "getting too much of what you want". The Fed (ie. the holding company for the banks) is the one who has relentlessly pushed to lower reserve requirements for banks. It was Covid where they finally went full-tilt and removed any reserve requirements from banks at all...that is banks are no longer mandated to hold any treasuries as reserves.
Well congratulations....only now the US Gov has zero reasons to support you anymore. This is what broke the Fed / US Treasury relationship. The banks are no longer big buyers of US debt...so the US Gov has just legislated itself a new buyer.
Growth projections post-GENIUS act estimate by 2030 stablecoins will hold 1.5-2T in US treasuries. They are set to become the top 2 or 3 holders of debt...and the US Treasuries new best best buddy.
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