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154 sats \ 5 replies \ @freetx 12 Nov \ on: Trump's 50-Year Mortgage Will Bring More Inflation and Corporate Bailouts econ
Houses are depreciating assets. Its doubtful that a modern construction house will last for 50 years without major rework.
Due to the way amortization works, during the first 10-20 years the buyers will get almost 0 equity....by the time the buyers do start accruing equity, the house will be dilapidated.
Its ironic that the push towards lower construction standards (particle board + wood frames) was itself driven by inflation...so now we are fixing one inflation problem with another.
You aren't accruing equity via your house payments, but when inflation drives up the nominal value of your home, you do get to pocket the difference at time of sale.
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True.
The old adage of real estate is very true: Location, location, location.
I learned that. The house I owned from age 25-36 was in a poor location but it was a low price. I made almost nothing on that after accounting for property tax and repairs I did over those years. Maybe I netted 1% annually.
My current house, in a very high demand location, is growing at 5-6% annually.
My point on that is those who will likely need a 50 yr loan will not be buying "premium location" houses on average.
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My expectation is that these will just become the norm and 30-year mortgages will be similarly niche as 15-years are today.
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True, but how devalued will that payment be for years 31-50. In real terms, it'll be peanuts.
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