So.....

By my estimation (shots in the dark) itll be about 5 years before we start seeing these in upper middle class homes (comparable to the colored tv or computer). It'll be a nice to have, and a flex. Then five years later if you don't have one it means your one of the poors. Then 5 years later purchasing one will be like purchasing an Iphone at Verizon....no money down, just some contract that you'll likely be paying for the rest of your life.

The rate at which this stuff is getting better i'd imagine all jobs going away within 15 years. I honestly can't imagine a single job that would exist. Seems like prices fall to the marginal cost of production in a free market because of consumer preference, its likely that llm-ification and robot-ization will be a market darling. I could sort of see a spiraling mass infantilization of the human race as we become even more de-responsiblized from big impactful choices that effect our lives/the world at large.

Would be crazy to see a consensus protocol similar to that of bitcoin, used to govern some sort of decentralized system of robot agents. Like some sort of world government, taking cues from an anarchic, open source, permissionless, system infused with libertarian and humanitarian ethics.

People, when talking about how the loss of jobs will be a catastrpohy which will cause a massive meaninglessness crisis have a point. But on the other hand, we already live in a meaninglessness crisis. Most people only go to work to survive, they pick fruit, move boxes, give fake customer service smiles, pick up trash, sweep stairs, sit in cubicles and type letters and numbers into computer screens, ask if you want the sub toasted, ask if you want a bag with that, ask if your ready to order.....etc. not because doing so gives them meaning. I think they are doing it as a prerequesite to living in the 21st century. It seems that most of them dream of some sort of day where they can quit, most of them never really make it, but they dream of the day when they are liberated from their almost forced, seamingly meaningless, manual labor.

I wonder what percentage of people out here, actually find meaning in thier work. 25%? I doubt it. How many people never want to retire and want to continue with their job/career forever if permitted/allowed/If able.

Now let me contradict myself.

I think people are generally meaning making animals, we can find purpose and pride and meaning in......chewing gum while practicing backflips. I've seen dollar store managers, who upon a glance you could tell, conduct their job with the intensity and care of a surgeon or corporate executive. I personally know people who can't wait to get out of bed and perform their state sponsored beurocratic duties.

Elon was in the news lately talking about sustainable abundance through massive productivity. I'm of the reasoning that most productivity gains are being hidden/stolen from the public through inflation and that because of the debt based system that we live in, massive deflation means it becomes massively harder to pay off US debt.

In conclusion I think that if bitcoin wins, deflation wins and if deflation wins instead of needing UBI regular folk will just watch all prices drop. People will find meaning in things other than work. A huge swath of people will become addicted to AI generated entertainment, the earth will fall under some sort of llm governance protocol in which humans have small impact over slight variences in governmental structure. Food and energy cost will drop to zero, we'll have a more cordial relationship with the aliens that have been visiting and the DMT beings that we visit. We'll extend life to 200 within 50 years, space travel will become more common. Neural chips in our brain will replace the phone and will pair with our innate ability for remote viewing.

Thats the end of my ramble.